Italy vs Slovakia, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Slovakia Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Slovakia xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Slovakia 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Slovakia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
66%
Draw or Slovakia
60%
Italy or Slovakia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Slovakia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Slovakia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Slovakia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.