Portugal vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Italy | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | Slovakia | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Oct | England | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | Poland | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Germany | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Turkey | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Portugal | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | Northern Ireland | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Penistone Church FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | Czechia | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Iceland | H | 7–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | Switzerland | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Portugal or Italy 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
67%
Draw or Italy
60%
Portugal or Italy
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.