Portugal vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Italy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Iceland | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | Austria | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Royal Standard de Liege | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Sep | Blyth Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | Valencia CF | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Portugal kicks off things out of here…
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.19
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Portugal or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
70%
Draw or Italy
61%
Portugal or Italy
69%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.