Iceland vs Italy, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Iceland Lineups
Italy Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Iceland Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.17 Iceland xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.22 Italy xGI would bet for: Iceland or Italy 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.39Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 89% 11% ± 1.5 69% 31% ± 2.5 42% 58% ± 3.5 22% 78% ± 4.5 10% 90% Double Chance
Iceland or Draw 66%Draw or Italy 63%Iceland or Italy 71%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual0 – 0 11.4%0 – 1 10.1%1 – 0 9.5%1 – 2 7.7%2 – 1 7.3%0 – 2 6.6%2 – 0 6%2 – 2 4.6%1 – 3 3.2%3 – 1 2.9%0 – 3 2.7%Asian Handicap — Iceland
Handicap Iceland covers Push Italy covers -2.5 5% — 95% -2 5% 10% 86% -1.5 14% — 86% -1 14% 19% 67% -0.5 33% — 67% +0.5 64% — 36% +1 64% 20% 16% +1.5 84% — 16% +2 84% 11% 5% +2.5 95% — 5% Clean Sheet
Iceland keeps clean sheet 30% ✓Italy keeps clean sheet 32% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.