Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga .
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Bacher
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preußen Münster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Dec | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Dec | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Hamburger SV | A | 5–3 | W |
| 29 Nov | Hertha BSC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Karlsruher SC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Hannover 96 | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 41 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 44 | Scored | 59 |
| 48 | Conceded | 45 |
| -4 | GD | +14 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- Holstein Kiel celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
53%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

