Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Holstein Kiel
2 – 0
Full Time
SC Paderborn 07
Sun 18 Jan 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Bacher

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 2 6
2 Hertha BSC 2 6
3 Karlsruher SC 2 4
4 VfL Wolfsburg 2 4
5 Eintracht Braunschweig 2 3
6 Arminia Bielefeld 2 3
7 VfL Bochum 1848 2 3
8 FC Energie Cottbus 2 3
9 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2 3
10 1. FC Magdeburg 2 3
11 SG Dynamo Dresden 2 3
12 Holstein Kiel 2 2
13 FC St. Pauli 1910 2 2
14 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2 2
15 SV Darmstadt 98 2 1
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 2 1
17 Hannover 96 2 0
18 VfL Osnabruck 2 0

Head-to-Head

5
2
3
Holstein Kiel 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals SC Paderborn 07
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-18 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Paderborn 07 2025-08-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
20 Dec SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–3 D
07 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D
03 Dec Hamburger SV A 5–3 W
29 Nov Hertha BSC H 0–1 L
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Holstein Kiel A 0–2 L
19 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
13 Dec Karlsruher SC A 4–0 W
06 Dec SV 07 Elversberg H 1–2 L
28 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L
22 Nov Hannover 96 H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • Holstein Kiel celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 2
Tom Rothe 1
Robert Leipertz 1
Marvin Schulz 1
Finn Porath 1
Niklas Niehoff 1

Head to Head

2026-01-18 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Paderborn 07 2025-08-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07

Holstein Kiel Form

2026-01-18 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden W 2025-12-13 1. FC Magdeburg 3–3 Holstein Kiel D 2025-12-07 Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-12-03 Hamburger SV 3–5 Holstein Kiel W 2025-11-29 Holstein Kiel 0–1 Hertha BSC L

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2026-01-18 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Paderborn 07 L 2025-12-19 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98 D 2025-12-13 Karlsruher SC 0–4 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-12-06 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SV 07 Elversberg L 2025-11-28 FC Schalke 04 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 L 2025-11-22 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 Hannover 96 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel51% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0723%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
49%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel33% Draw48% SC Paderborn 0719%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.