Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 18 Jan 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Bacher
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
20 Dec SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–3 D
07 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D
03 Dec Hamburger SV A 5–3 W
29 Nov Hertha BSC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Holstein Kiel A 0–2 L
19 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
13 Dec Karlsruher SC A 4–0 W
06 Dec SV 07 Elversberg H 1–2 L
28 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L
22 Nov Hannover 96 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel SC Paderborn 07
#12 Position #3
41 Points 62
34 Played 34
11 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
44 Scored 59
48 Conceded 45
-4 GD +14
1.21 PPG 1.82
32% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel47% Draw25% SC Paderborn 0728%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
53%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel30% Draw45% SC Paderborn 0725%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
27%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.