Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga .
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Bacher
3 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 13.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Dec | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Dec | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Hamburger SV | A | 5–3 | W |
| 29 Nov | Hertha BSC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Karlsruher SC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Hannover 96 | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Holstein Kiel and SC Paderborn 07 is underway.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Paderborn 07.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
49%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.