Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden — 2. Bundesliga .
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- SG Dynamo Dresden 11 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
6 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 9.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Dec | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Hamburger SV | A | 5–3 | W |
| 29 Nov | Hertha BSC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Dec | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Nov | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Nov | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | SG Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #15 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 1 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 6 |
| 11 | Scored | 15 |
| 14 | Conceded | 20 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 0.73 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 9% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
27%
Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
Holstein Kiel are 18th (8 pts). SG Dynamo Dresden are 15th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
5/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/5
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
SG Dynamo Dresden
| Vincent Vermeij | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jonas Sterner | 2 G | 2 A |
| Niklas Hauptmann | 2 G | 1 A |
| Robert Wagner | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vincent Vermeij | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | 1 |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SG Dynamo Dresden Form
2025-12-20
Holstein Kiel
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
L
2025-12-12
SG Dynamo Dresden
2–3
Eintracht Braunschweig
L
2025-12-06
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
L
2025-11-30
SG Dynamo Dresden
2–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2025-11-21
VfL Bochum 1848
1–2
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2025-11-07
SG Dynamo Dresden
1–2
1. FC Nürnberg
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
SG Dynamo Dresden xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
77%
Draw or SG Dynamo Dresden
49%
Holstein Kiel or SG Dynamo Dresden
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SG Dynamo Dresden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.