Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Holstein Kiel
2 – 1
Full Time
SG Dynamo Dresden
Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden — 2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV 07 Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nurnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum 1848 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 SG Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 37
17 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 37
18 SC Preussen Munster 34 30

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals SG Dynamo Dresden
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–3 D
07 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D
03 Dec Hamburger SV A 5–3 W
29 Nov Hertha BSC H 0–1 L
23 Nov 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–4 L
SG Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Holstein Kiel A 1–2 L
12 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–3 L
06 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–3 L
30 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 2–1 W
21 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
07 Nov 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel SG Dynamo Dresden
#12 Position #11
41 Points 41
34 Played 34
11 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 15
44 Scored 54
48 Conceded 53
-4 GD +1
1.21 PPG 1.21
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
18% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season

Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). SG Dynamo Dresden are 11th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Another three points for Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vincent Vermeij 2
Phil Harres 1

Head to Head

2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden W 2025-12-13 1. FC Magdeburg 3–3 Holstein Kiel D 2025-12-07 Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-12-03 Hamburger SV 3–5 Holstein Kiel W 2025-11-29 Holstein Kiel 0–1 Hertha BSC L 2025-11-23 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4–1 Holstein Kiel L

SG Dynamo Dresden Form

2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2025-12-12 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–3 Eintracht Braunschweig L 2025-12-06 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2025-11-30 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2025-11-21 VfL Bochum 1848 1–2 SG Dynamo Dresden W 2025-11-07 SG Dynamo Dresden 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel50% Draw25% SG Dynamo Dresden25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
75%
Draw or SG Dynamo Dresden
50%
Holstein Kiel or SG Dynamo Dresden
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel34% Draw44% SG Dynamo Dresden22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SG Dynamo Dresden covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.