Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Holstein Kiel

0 – 3

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 24 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,906 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Nadiem Amiri

0–2 37' Jonathan Burkardt pen

0–3 53' Jae-sung Lee

Patrick Erras 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann
Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth

6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L
09 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–2	L
02 Nov	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–0	W
29 Oct	1. FC Köln	A	0–3	L
26 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
20 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	H	0–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	Holstein Kiel	A	3–0	W
09 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–0	D
30 Oct	FC Bayern München	H	0–4	L
25 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D
19 Oct	RB Leipzig	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Holstein Kiel have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
10' The 33-year-old Steven Skrzybski has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
11' What composure from Nadiem Amiri! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
16' Germany international Nicolai Remberg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
31' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
33' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Shuto Machino is withdrawn and Finn Porath gets his opportunity.
37' Against the run of play, Jonathan Burkardt has scored! This game has turned on its head.
42' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
46' Benedikt Pichler is replacing Lewis Holtby for the Holstein Kiel side.
51' Holstein Kiel are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
53' A stunning finish from Jae-sung Lee — that came from absolutely nowhere!
56' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
69' Hyun-seok Hong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jae-sung Lee at the 69 minute mark.
72' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 72 minute. Max Geschwill leaves to be changed by Marvin Schulz.
76' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Steven Skrzybski has done his job and it is now time for Dominik Javorcek to step up.
80' Silvan Widmer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Caci at the 80 minute mark.
85' Lewis Holtby is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
90' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Philipp Mwene departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Holstein Kiel 0-3 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Benedikt Pichler 46'
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Dominik Javorcek 76'
4
Patrick Erras
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Finn Porath 33'
1
Timon Weiner
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↓ Armin Gigovic 33'
17
Timo Becker
14
Max Geschwill ↓ Marvin Schulz 72'
22
Nicolai Remberg
19
Phil Harres
6
Marko Ivezic

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 90'
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 90'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Armindo Sieb 80'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa
8
Paul Nebel
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 69'

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	1
Nadiem Amiri	1
Jae-sung Lee	1
Nelson Weiper	1
Alexander Bernhardsson	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.7 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel20% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0553%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.39

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

47%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

80%

Holstein Kiel or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Holstein Kiel12% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0540%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

14.6%

0 – 2

12.7%

1 – 1

11.6%

0 – 0

11.2%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 1

3.6%

2 – 2

3.2%

0 – 4

1 – 4

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	10%	86%
-0.5	14%	—	86%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	26%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	19%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Clean Sheet