Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 2.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
- 5' The 29-year-old Nadiem Amiri has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Max Geschwill is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
- 11' What a moment for Nadiem Amiri! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 21' With 0 assists to his name this season, Shuto Machino is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Holstein Kiel side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Marko Ivezic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Finn Porath has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shuto Machino on 33 minute.
- 37' Jonathan Burkardt does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Lewis Holtby has done his job and it is now time for Benedikt Pichler to step up.
- 51' Andreas Hanche-Olsen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 299 appearances.
- 53' Goal! Jae-sung Lee scores his 13 goal in 436 matches.
- 56' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 69' The whistle greets Jae-sung Lee as he departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
- 72' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Max Geschwill is withdrawn and Marvin Schulz gets his opportunity.
- 76' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Steven Skrzybski by Dominik Javorcek on 76 minute.
- 80' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Anthony Caci exits the field as Silvan Widmer enters on 80.
- 85' Lewis Holtby, a Germany , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nikolas Veratschnig comes on to replace Philipp Mwene.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Benedikt Pichler 46'
- 7
- 4
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Finn Porath 33'
- 1
- 27
- 17
-
14
Max Geschwill ↓ Marvin Schulz 72'
- 22
- 19
- 6
Bench
- 20
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 72'
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 33'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 46'
- 3
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 76'
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 33'
- 23
Coach
Marcel Rapp
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 69'
Bench
- 5
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 80'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 90'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 80'
- 1
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 69'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 90'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nelson Weiper | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 1 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 1 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.7
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
47%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
80%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.6%
0 – 2
12.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.