Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 47' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AZ — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Heerenveen A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
05 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
01 Apr RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
29 Mar NEC A 3–3 D
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
13 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Heracles Almelo gets underway.
  • 5' Ivan Mesik, a Slovakia , has 10 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' AZ have won 582 goals from 305 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Zico Buurmeester has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' A moment of madness from Thomas Bruns on 17 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Denso Kasius is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AZ.
  • 27' Mario Engels needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
  • 32' Damon Mirani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' Heracles Almelo currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 42' AZ is showing some good football. However, AZ are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Sven Mijnans is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexandre Penetra at the 46 minute mark.
  • 47' The Netherlands Jizz Hornkamp breaks the deadlock on 47 minutes. 1-0!
  • 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' AZ started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' Suf Podgoreanu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 65' Seiya Maikuma gets the nod from AZ. He replaces Denso Kasius and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 72' Another change for AZ made on 72 minute. Ruben van Bommel leaves to be changed by Mayckel Lahdo.
  • 73' The AZ manager makes a substitution. Mexx Meerdink departs to be replaced by Ernest Poku.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Jizz Hornkamp as he leaves the pitch. Luka Kulenovic steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 81' Fresh legs for AZ! Jayden Addai comes on to replace Ibrahim Sadiq.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Thomas Bruns is replaced by Jordy Bruijn.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Heracles Almelo player. Jordy Bruijn gets a card.
  • 89' Heracles Almelo make a change. Sem Scheperman trudges off to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam on 89 minutes.
  • With this win, Heracles Almelo is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 AZ xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo52% Draw26% AZ22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
78%
Draw or AZ
48%
Heracles Almelo or AZ
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw47% AZ18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
AZ keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.