Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 47' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AZEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
7 games this season 🟨 0.1/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Heerenveen A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
05 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
01 Apr RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
29 Mar NEC A 3–3 D
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
13 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against AZ.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Maarten Martens might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Kees Smit is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for AZ tonight.
  • 17' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 22' Jizz Hornkamp is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 27' The travelling AZ supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 32' Thomas Bruns has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' Netherlands international Mees De Wit has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Another change for AZ made on 46 minute. Alexandre Penetra leaves to be changed by Sven Mijnans.
  • 47' Jizz Hornkamp is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 52' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and AZ are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 57' Sem Scheperman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 62' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. AZ seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' Time for substitution for AZ. Denso Kasius is replaced by Seiya Maikuma.
  • 70' AZ seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 72' Mayckel Lahdo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruben van Bommel on 72 minute.
  • 73' AZ manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ernest Poku is hanging Mexx Meerdink on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' Heracles Almelo make a change. Jizz Hornkamp trudges off to be replaced by Luka Kulenovic on 77 minutes.
  • 81' Jayden Addai is replacing Ibrahim Sadiq for the AZ side.
  • 83' The whistle greets Thomas Bruns as he departs to be replaced by Jordy Bruijn.
  • 84' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' The whistle greets Sem Scheperman as he departs to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam.
  • It finishes all square. Heracles Almelo and AZ share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 AZ xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo52% Draw26% AZ22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
78%
Draw or AZ
48%
Heracles Almelo or AZ
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw47% AZ18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
37%
AZ keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.