Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 47' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AZEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Heerenveen A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
05 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
01 Apr RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
29 Mar NEC A 3–3 D
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
13 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Heracles Almelo have kicked off against AZ. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Fabian de Keijzer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AZ needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 17' It’s gonna be a card for Thomas Bruns.
  • 22' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AZ backline.
  • 27' Ernest Poku has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 32' AZ started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mayckel Lahdo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heracles Almelo.
  • 42' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Mats Rots has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Sven Mijnans has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexandre Penetra on 46 minute.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Jizz Hornkamp — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' AZ seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' AZ is showing some good football. However, AZ are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Another change for AZ made on 65 minute. Denso Kasius leaves to be changed by Seiya Maikuma.
  • 70' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 72' AZ manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mayckel Lahdo is hanging Ruben van Bommel on the field on 72 minute.
  • 73' Ernest Poku gets the nod from AZ. He replaces Mexx Meerdink and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Jizz Hornkamp is replaced by Luka Kulenovic.
  • 81' Ibrahim Sadiq makes way for Jayden Addai at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from AZ.
  • 83' Jordy Bruijn is replacing Thomas Bruns for the Heracles Almelo side.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Jordy Bruijn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 89' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Sem Scheperman has done his job and it is now time for Daniel van Kaam to step up.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Heracles Almelo and AZ (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 AZ xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo52% Draw26% AZ22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
78%
Draw or AZ
48%
Heracles Almelo or AZ
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw47% AZ18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
37%
AZ keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.