Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 47' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AZ — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
12 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 13.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Heerenveen A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
05 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
01 Apr RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
29 Mar NEC A 3–3 D
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
13 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
3/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Erve Asito as Heracles Almelo face off against AZ in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 17' The referee shows Heracles Almelo player a card on 17.
  • 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and AZ are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 32' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Ivan Mesik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabian de Keijzer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heracles Almelo.
  • 42' The travelling AZ supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Another change for AZ made on 46 minute. Alexandre Penetra leaves to be changed by Sven Mijnans.
  • 47' A goal from the Netherlands international Jizz Hornkamp! He fires home on 47 to make it 1-0!
  • 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 62' It’s high time Maarten Martens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 65' Another change for AZ made on 65 minute. Denso Kasius leaves to be changed by Seiya Maikuma.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' Fresh legs for AZ! Mayckel Lahdo comes on to replace Ruben van Bommel.
  • 73' The AZ bench stirs into life. Mexx Meerdink is withdrawn and Ernest Poku gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Kulenovic is hanging Jizz Hornkamp on the field on 77 minute.
  • 81' AZ make a change. Ibrahim Sadiq trudges off to be replaced by Jayden Addai on 81 minutes.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Heracles Almelo — Jordy Bruijn on, Thomas Bruns off on 83 minutes.
  • 84' The referee shows Heracles Almelo player a card on 84.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Daniel van Kaam. He replaces Sem Scheperman on 89 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Heracles Almelo to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 AZ xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo52% Draw26% AZ22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
78%
Draw or AZ
48%
Heracles Almelo or AZ
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw47% AZ18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
AZ keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.