Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,632 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian De Keersmaecker pen 8' 1–0
1–1 9' Dylan Vente
1–2 32' Anselmo MacNulty
Thomas Bruns 44' 2–2
Juho Talvitie 58' 3–2
Jizz Hornkamp 63' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martijn Vos
  • Assistant 1 Mario Diks
  • Assistant 2 Martijn Beijer (Netherlands)
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 9.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Heracles Almelo A 2–4 L
16 Feb SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
09 Feb AZ A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Utrecht H 3–3 D
26 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 4–1 W
18 Jan PSV H 3–1 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
3/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle has kicked off!
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PEC Zwolle needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 8' GOAL! Brian De Keersmaecker fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 8' Damian van der Haar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 8.
  • 9' GOAL! Dylan Vente fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 14' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' Jamiro Monteiro was booked on 18.
  • 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 28' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' PEC Zwolle is taking the lead after the goal scored by Anselmo MacNulty on 32.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Suf Podgoreanu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' The referee has no hesitation. Ivan Mesik is booked for Heracles Almelo — card on 40.
  • 44' Goal! Thomas Bruns scores his 6 goal in 282 matches.
  • 46' Another change for PEC Zwolle made on 46 minute. Damian van der Haar leaves to be changed by Thierry Lutonda.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' PEC Zwolle are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 58' Heracles Almelo is taking the lead after the goal scored by Juho Talvitie on 58.
  • 60' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mario Engels is hanging Juho Talvitie on the field on 60 minute.
  • 63' Jizz Hornkamp has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
  • 67' Another change for PEC Zwolle made on 67 minute. Davy van den Berg leaves to be changed by Ryan Thomas.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' The whistle greets Jizz Hornkamp as he departs to be replaced by Bryan Limbombe.
  • 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' Another substitution for PEC Zwolle to replace Jamiro Monteiro by Thomas Buitink on 82 minute.
  • 87' Jamiro Monteiro is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for PEC Zwolle tonight.
  • 90' Mimeirhel Benita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Suf Podgoreanu at the 90 minute mark.
  • PEC Zwolle will have plenty to reflect on. Heracles Almelo were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo49% Draw24% PEC Zwolle27%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
73%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
51%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw42% PEC Zwolle23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.