Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Heracles Almelo
4 – 2
Full Time
PEC Zwolle
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,632 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian De Keersmaecker pen 8' 1–0
1–1 9' Dylan Vente
1–2 32' Anselmo MacNulty
Thomas Bruns 44' 2–2
Juho Talvitie 58' 3–2
Jizz Hornkamp 63' 4–2
Y 8' Damian van der Haar
Y 18' Jamiro Monteiro
Ivan Mesik 40' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martijn Vos
  • Assistant 1 Mario Diks
  • Assistant 2 Martijn Beijer (Netherlands)
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

6
2
5
Heracles Almelo 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals PEC Zwolle
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Heracles Almelo 4–2 PEC Zwolle 2024-09-01 PEC Zwolle 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-04-28 PEC Zwolle 3–1 Heracles Almelo 2023-10-01 Heracles Almelo 2–1 PEC Zwolle 2022-02-26 Heracles Almelo 2–0 PEC Zwolle

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
PEC Zwolle
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Heracles Almelo A 2–4 L
16 Feb SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
09 Feb AZ A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Utrecht H 3–3 D
26 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 4–1 W
18 Jan PSV H 3–1 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Erve Asito. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 8' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Brian De Keersmaecker makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 8' Poor challenge from Damian van der Haar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 9' A goal from the Suriname international Dylan Vente! He fires home on 9 to make it 1-1!
  • 14' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a card for Jamiro Monteiro.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ivan Mesik made 175 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Mats Rots has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' PEC Zwolle is taking the lead after the goal scored by Anselmo MacNulty on 32.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' Ivan Mesik picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 44' Brilliant from the ! Thomas Bruns makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 44.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Damian van der Haar as he leaves the pitch. Thierry Lutonda steps in for PEC Zwolle.
  • 51' The travelling PEC Zwolle supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' Sensational shot from Juho Talvitie. Heracles Almelo is back in the lead.
  • 60' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Juho Talvitie by Mario Engels on 60 minute.
  • 63' The Netherlands Jizz Hornkamp breaks the deadlock on 63 minutes. 4-2!
  • 67' Ryan Thomas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davy van den Berg at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' Bryan Limbombe gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Jizz Hornkamp and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Jannes Wieckhoff has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 278 appearances.
  • 82' Time for substitution for PEC Zwolle. Jamiro Monteiro is replaced by Thomas Buitink.
  • 87' Olivier Aertssen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Suf Podgoreanu has done his job and it is now time for Mimeirhel Benita to step up.
  • The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Erwin van de Looi

PEC Zwolle Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lennart Thy 3
Luca de la Torre 3
Sinan Bakis 2
Emil Hansson 2
Filip Krastev 2
Mike van Duinen 2
Dylan Vente 2
Anselmo MacNulty 2

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Heracles Almelo 4–2 PEC Zwolle 2024-09-01 PEC Zwolle 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-04-28 PEC Zwolle 3–1 Heracles Almelo 2023-10-01 Heracles Almelo 2–1 PEC Zwolle 2022-02-26 Heracles Almelo 2–0 PEC Zwolle

Heracles Almelo Form

2025-03-02 Heracles Almelo 4–2 PEC Zwolle W 2025-02-16 AFC Ajax 4–0 Heracles Almelo L 2025-02-08 Heracles Almelo 4–2 Go Ahead Eagles W 2025-01-31 NAC Breda 1–1 Heracles Almelo D 2025-01-28 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Groningen D 2025-01-24 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Utrecht D

PEC Zwolle Form

2025-03-02 Heracles Almelo 4–2 PEC Zwolle L 2025-02-16 PEC Zwolle 1–1 SC Heerenveen D 2025-02-09 AZ 2–0 PEC Zwolle L 2025-02-01 PEC Zwolle 3–3 FC Utrecht D 2025-01-26 Fortuna Sittard 1–4 PEC Zwolle W 2025-01-18 PEC Zwolle 3–1 PSV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo49% Draw24% PEC Zwolle27%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
73%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
51%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw42% PEC Zwolle23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.