Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,632 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian De Keersmaecker pen 8' 1–0
1–1 9' Dylan Vente
1–2 32' Anselmo MacNulty
Thomas Bruns 44' 2–2
Juho Talvitie 58' 3–2
Jizz Hornkamp 63' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC ZwolleEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martijn Vos
  • Assistant 1 Mario Diks
  • Assistant 2 Martijn Beijer (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar PEC Zwolle H 4–2 W
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Heracles Almelo A 2–4 L
16 Feb SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
09 Feb AZ A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Utrecht H 3–3 D
26 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 4–1 W
18 Jan PSV H 3–1 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo49% Draw24% PEC Zwolle27%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
73%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
51%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo35% Draw42% PEC Zwolle23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
24%
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.