Thursday , 2 July 2026

AZ vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
1 1
Full Time
Thu 28 Sep 2023 · 18:00 UTC AFAS Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Vangelis Pavlidis 13' 1–0
1–1 53' Anas Ouahim

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at AFAS Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
  • Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
24 Sep PEC Zwolle A 3–0 W
17 Sep Sparta Rotterdam H 2–0 W
03 Sep SBV Vitesse A 2–0 W
20 Aug RKC Waalwijk A 3–1 W
13 Aug Go Ahead Eagles H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Volendam A 2–2 D
16 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at AFAS Stadion. AZ are looking to make home advantage count against Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' Yukinari Sugawara is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AZ tonight.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pascal Jansen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 13' A stunning finish from Vangelis Pavlidis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 18' Netherlands international Stijn Bultman has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 23' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 28' Mario Engels is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Marko Vejinovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AZ and Heracles Almelo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' A change in the AZ ranks — Mayckel Lahdo exits the field as Ibrahim Sadiq enters on 46.
  • 47' AZ ring the changes. Riechedly Bazoer has done his job and it is now time for Bruno Martins Indi to step up.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at AFAS Stadion. AZ seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Anas Ouahim — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 56' Brian De Keersmaecker was booked on 56.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Bryan Limbombe. He replaces Mario Engels on 65 minute.
  • 69' Time for substitution for AZ. Sven Mijnans is replaced by Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' Jetro Willems makes way for Ruben Roosken at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 80' The AZ manager makes a substitution. Dani de Wit departs to be replaced by Jens Odgaard.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Navajo Bakboord.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Lasse Wehmeyer comes on to replace Mohamed Sankoh.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ibrahim Sadiq.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AZ54% Draw25% Heracles Almelo21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
78%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
46%
AZ or Heracles Almelo
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AZ38% Draw44% Heracles Almelo18%
Actual: AZ win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
34%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.