Sunday , 16 August 2026

AZ vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
1 1
Full Time
Thu 28 Sep 2023 · 18:00 UTC AFAS Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Vangelis Pavlidis 13' 1–0
1–1 53' Anas Ouahim

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at AFAS Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
  • Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
24 Sep PEC Zwolle A 3–0 W
17 Sep Sparta Rotterdam H 2–0 W
03 Sep SBV Vitesse A 2–0 W
20 Aug RKC Waalwijk A 3–1 W
13 Aug Go Ahead Eagles H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Volendam A 2–2 D
16 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AZ vs Heracles Almelo — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' AZ is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Lammers will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 13' What composure from Vangelis Pavlidis! The Greece international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 18' Brian De Keersmaecker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 23' It’s high time Pascal Jansen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. AZ is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Navajo Bakboord is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AZ.
  • 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 43' AZ are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 46' It is a substitution in AZ team. Mayckel Lahdo is replaced by Ibrahim Sadiq on 46 minute.
  • 47' Bruno Martins Indi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Riechedly Bazoer on 47 minute.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at AFAS Stadion. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' What an equalizer from Anas Ouahim!
  • 56' The referee calls foul for Brian De Keersmaecker. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 61' AZ seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 65' The whistle greets Mario Engels as he departs to be replaced by Bryan Limbombe.
  • 69' The whistle greets Sven Mijnans as he departs to be replaced by Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' The whistle greets Jetro Willems as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Roosken.
  • 80' Jens Odgaard is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dani de Wit at the 80 minute mark.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Navajo Bakboord.
  • 85' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Mohamed Sankoh departs to be replaced by Lasse Wehmeyer.
  • 87' Ibrahim Sadiq was booked on 87.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AZ54% Draw25% Heracles Almelo21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
78%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
46%
AZ or Heracles Almelo
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AZ38% Draw44% Heracles Almelo18%
Actual: AZ win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
34%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.