Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AZ, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
5 0
Full Time
Wed 3 Apr 2024 · 16:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp pen 38' 2–0
Jizz Hornkamp pen 40' 3–0
Mohamed Sankoh 90' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AZEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Allard Lindhout
  • Assistant 1 Patrick Inia
  • Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr AZ H 5–0 W
31 Mar FC Twente '65 A 0–1 L
15 Mar Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
10 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
03 Mar Almere City FC H 2–2 D
23 Feb FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–5 L
30 Mar SBV Vitesse H 2–0 W
17 Mar FC Volendam A 4–0 W
10 Mar SBV Excelsior H 4–0 W
02 Mar Sparta Rotterdam A 1–1 D
25 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–0 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Heracles Almelo and AZ get this one started.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. AZ seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and AZ are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brian De Keersmaecker on 15 minutes.
  • 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brian De Keersmaecker makes it 1-0.
  • 24' AZ come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 29' The travelling AZ supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' Heracles Almelo receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
  • 38' Jizz Hornkamp doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' Brilliant from the ! Jizz Hornkamp makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 40.
  • 45' AZ receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Another change for AZ made on 46 minute. Wouter Goes leaves to be changed by Ruben van Bommel.
  • 51' Sven Sonnenberg is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AZ tonight.
  • 56' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AZ backline.
  • 61' AZ fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 64' A change in the AZ ranks — Riechedly Bazoer exits the field as Alexandre Penetra enters on 64.
  • 65' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Sem Scheperman exits the field as Mario Engels enters on 65.
  • 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ajdin Hrustic, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' It’s high time Maarten Martens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 82' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Bryan Limbombe has done his job and it is now time for Kelvin Leerdam to step up.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' The whistle greets Jizz Hornkamp as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Sankoh.
  • 90' Mohamed Sankoh does the damage! The net is bulging and Heracles Almelo surge ahead!
  • Full Time. Heracles Almelo beats AZ

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.97 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 AZ xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo51% Draw24% AZ25%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
76%
Draw or AZ
49%
Heracles Almelo or AZ
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo39% Draw42% AZ19%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29%
AZ keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.