Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Heart of Midlothian FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Dundee FC

Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 18,185 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Jordan McGhee

0–2 38' Lyall Cameron

Calem Nieuwenhof 57' 1–2

Dexter Lembikisa 74' 2–2

Yutaro Oda 86' 3–2

Y 41' Jordan McGhee

Y 45' Dara Costelloe

Dexter Lembikisa 49' Y

Y 60' Amadou Bakayoko

Y 65' Owen Dodgson

Y 77' Curtis Main

Y 79' Lee Ashcroft

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Dundee FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Assistant 1 Alastair Mather
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	2	6
2	St. Mirren FC	2	6
3	Motherwell FC	2	4
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	2	3
5	Dundee FC	2	3
6	St. Johnstone FC	2	3
7	Hibernian FC	2	3
8	Aberdeen FC	2	3
9	Rangers FC	2	1
10	Falkirk FC	2	1
11	Dundee United FC	2	1
12	Kilmarnock FC	2	0

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Dundee FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC 2023-08-27 Dundee FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-02-09 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Dundee FC 2021-10-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Dundee FC 2019-03-09 Dundee FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
02 Jan	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
30 Dec	Ross County FC	H	2–2	D
27 Dec	Hibernian FC	A	1–0	W
23 Dec	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
16 Dec	Celtic FC	A	2–0	W

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–3	L
30 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–2	D
26 Dec	Celtic FC	H	0–3	L
16 Dec	Ross County FC	A	1–0	W
09 Dec	Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
02 Dec	Motherwell FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Dundee FC
#4	Position	#5
3	Points	3
2	Played	2
1 / 0 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 1
5	Scored	2
2	Conceded	1
+3	GD	+1
1.50	PPG	1.50
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

50% Clean Sheets
Dundee FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Dundee FC are 5th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Dundee FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Dundee FC is underway.
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Dundee FC backline.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jordan McGhee makes it 0-1.
24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
32' Alan Forrest is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aidan Denholm at the 32 minute mark.
37' Dundee FC have won 178 goals from 183 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
38' What a moment for Lyall Cameron! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
41' Jordan McGhee is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
45' Controversy at the stadium! Dara Costelloe argues furiously but the card stands.
46' Jorge Grant gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Alex Cochrane and will look to change the dynamic.
49' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a card in front of him.
49' The supporters are chanting for Josh Mulligan. He replaces Luke McCowan on 49 minute.
54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heart of Midlothian FC that had 308 games and scored 323 goals.
56' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Beni Baningime is withdrawn and Macaulay Tait gets his opportunity.
57' Goal! Calem Nieuwenhof scores his 7 goal in 215 matches.
60' Amadou Bakayoko catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 60.
65' Dundee FC player sees a card in front of him.
70' Another substitution for Dundee FC to replace Zach Robinson by Curtis Main on 70 minute.
73' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 73 minute. Kenneth Vargas leaves to be changed by Yutaro Oda.
74' Dexter Lembikisa doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Curtis Main.
79' It’s a booking for Dundee FC player. Lee Ashcroft gets a card.
81' Dundee FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Charlie Reilly is hanging Amadou Bakayoko on the field on 81 minute.
86' The Japan Yutaro Oda breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 3-2!
Another three points for Heart of Midlothian FC.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Dundee FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	6
Luke McCowan	2
Lyall Cameron	2
Elton Kabangu	2
Jordan McGhee	2
Alan Forrest	2
Kenneth Vargas	2
Scott Tiffoney	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2024-01-02 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–2 Ross County FC D 2023-12-27 Hibernian FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2023-12-16 Celtic FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Dundee FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC L 2023-12-30 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2023-12-26 Dundee FC 0–3 Celtic FC L 2023-12-16 Ross County FC 0–1 Dundee FC W 2023-12-09 Rangers FC 3–1 Dundee FC L 2023-12-02 Motherwell FC 3–3 Dundee FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.49 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Dundee FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC49% Draw26% Dundee FC25%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Dundee FC

51%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC32% Draw48% Dundee FC20%

Actual: Dundee FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

10.1%

0 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.1%

0 – 1

7.2%

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Dundee FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.