Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Heart of Midlothian FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Dundee FC

Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 18,185 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Jordan McGhee

0–2 38' Lyall Cameron

Calem Nieuwenhof 57' 1–2

Dexter Lembikisa 74' 2–2

Yutaro Oda 86' 3–2

Y 41' Jordan McGhee

Y 45' Dara Costelloe

Dexter Lembikisa 49' Y

Y 60' Amadou Bakayoko

Y 65' Owen Dodgson

Y 77' Curtis Main

Y 79' Lee Ashcroft

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Dundee FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Assistant 1 Alastair Mather
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 17 games · Avg 2.8 goals Dundee FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC 2023-08-27 Dundee FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-02-09 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Dundee FC 2021-10-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Dundee FC 2019-03-09 Dundee FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
02 Jan	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
30 Dec	Ross County FC	H	2–2	D
27 Dec	Hibernian FC	A	1–0	W
23 Dec	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
16 Dec	Celtic FC	A	2–0	W

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–3	L
30 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–2	D
26 Dec	Celtic FC	H	0–3	L
16 Dec	Ross County FC	A	1–0	W
09 Dec	Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
02 Dec	Motherwell FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Dundee FC
#3	Position	#4
13	Points	10
7	Played	7
4 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 3
14	Scored	9
8	Conceded	7
+6	GD	+2
1.86	PPG	1.43
57%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Dundee FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Dundee FC are 4th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Dundee FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

James Wilson	3 G
Claudio Braga	2 G	2 A
Joshua McPake	1 G	1 A
Calvin Miller	1 G
Tom Renaud	1 G

Dundee FC

Joe Westley	3 G
Bradley Fink	2 G
Joe Bevan	1 G	1 A
Drey Wright	1 G
Charlie Reilly	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Heart of Midlothian FC welcome Dundee FC for this crunch clash at Tynecastle.
5' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' The 30-year-old Amadou Bakayoko has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
19' Jordan McGhee adds to his 0 season tally! Dundee FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
24' Dundee FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
29' Dundee FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
32' Alan Forrest has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aidan Denholm on 32 minute.
37' Dundee FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
38' A stunning finish from Lyall Cameron — that came from absolutely nowhere!
41' Dundee FC player sees a card in front of him.
45' Poor challenge from Dara Costelloe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
46' Jorge Grant has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Cochrane on 46 minute.
49' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 49.
49' Dundee FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Mulligan is hanging Luke McCowan on the field on 49 minute.
54' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
56' Macaulay Tait is replacing Beni Baningime for the Heart of Midlothian FC side.
57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Calem Nieuwenhof makes it 1-2.
60' It’s a booking for Dundee FC player. Amadou Bakayoko gets a card.
65' Dundee FC player sees a card in front of him.
70' A tactical swap from Dundee FC — Curtis Main on, Zach Robinson off on 70 minutes.
73' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Kenneth Vargas departs to be replaced by Yutaro Oda.
74' GOAL! Dexter Lembikisa scores on 74. Assisted by Alan Forrest
77' Curtis Main has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
79' Lee Ashcroft has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
81' Another substitution for Dundee FC to replace Amadou Bakayoko by Charlie Reilly on 81 minute.
86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yutaro Oda makes it 3-2.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Heart of Midlothian FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Dundee FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	6
Lyall Cameron	2
Elton Kabangu	2
Jordan McGhee	2
Alan Forrest	2
Kenneth Vargas	2
Luke McCowan	2
Andrew Nelson	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2024-01-02 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–2 Ross County FC D 2023-12-27 Hibernian FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2023-12-16 Celtic FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Dundee FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC L 2023-12-30 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2023-12-26 Dundee FC 0–3 Celtic FC L 2023-12-16 Ross County FC 0–1 Dundee FC W 2023-12-09 Rangers FC 3–1 Dundee FC L 2023-12-02 Motherwell FC 3–3 Dundee FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.89 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Dundee FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC52% Draw24% Dundee FC24%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Dundee FC

48%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC36% Draw42% Dundee FC22%

Actual: Dundee FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 0

6.9%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

5.6%

0 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Dundee FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	21%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.