Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Heart of Midlothian FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Dundee FC

Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 18,185 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Jordan McGhee

0–2 38' Lyall Cameron

Calem Nieuwenhof 57' 1–2

Dexter Lembikisa 74' 2–2

Yutaro Oda 86' 3–2

Y 41' Jordan McGhee

Y 45' Dara Costelloe

Dexter Lembikisa 49' Y

Y 60' Amadou Bakayoko

Y 65' Owen Dodgson

Y 77' Curtis Main

Y 79' Lee Ashcroft

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Dundee FC 12 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Assistant 1 Alastair Mather
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 17 games · Avg 2.8 goals Dundee FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC 2023-08-27 Dundee FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-02-09 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Dundee FC 2021-10-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Dundee FC 2019-03-09 Dundee FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
02 Jan	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
30 Dec	Ross County FC	H	2–2	D
27 Dec	Hibernian FC	A	1–0	W
23 Dec	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
16 Dec	Celtic FC	A	2–0	W

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–3	L
30 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–2	D
26 Dec	Celtic FC	H	0–3	L
16 Dec	Ross County FC	A	1–0	W
09 Dec	Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
02 Dec	Motherwell FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Dundee FC
#4	Position	#5
20	Points	17
12	Played	12
6 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	5 / 2 / 5
26	Scored	18
22	Conceded	15
+4	GD	+3
1.67	PPG	1.42
50%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

17% Clean Sheets
Dundee FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Dundee FC are 5th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Dundee FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

4/3

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Dundee FC

Bradley Fink	4 G
Joe Westley	4 G
Ashley Hay	3 G
Joe Bevan	2 G	1 A
Owen Bevan	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Tynecastle that hosts another battle between Heart of Midlothian FC and Dundee FC.
5' Dundee FC have won 196 goals from 194 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Dundee FC's 5-3-2 shape.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
19' Jordan McGhee has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Heart of Midlothian FC winning 100% of all matches.
29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
32' Alan Forrest has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aidan Denholm on 32 minute.
37' Dundee FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
38' GOAL! Lyall Cameron scores on 38. Assisted by Dara Costelloe
41' It’s gonna be a card for Jordan McGhee.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Dara Costelloe is booked for Dundee FC — card on 45.
46' Jorge Grant has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Cochrane on 46 minute.
49' It’s gonna be a card for Dexter Lembikisa.
49' A change in the Dundee FC ranks — Luke McCowan exits the field as Josh Mulligan enters on 49.
54' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
56' Macaulay Tait gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Beni Baningime and will look to change the dynamic.
57' Magnificent from Calem Nieuwenhof! That is 7 goals in 219 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
60' That looks like a foul for a card for Amadou Bakayoko.
65' That looks like a foul for a card for Owen Dodgson.
70' It is a substitution in Dundee FC team. Zach Robinson is replaced by Curtis Main on 70 minute.
73' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Kenneth Vargas trudges off to be replaced by Yutaro Oda on 73 minutes.
74' Against the run of play, Dexter Lembikisa has scored! This game has turned on its head.
77' That looks like a foul for a card for Curtis Main.
79' The referee shows Dundee FC player a card on 79.
81' Fresh legs for Dundee FC! Charlie Reilly comes on to replace Amadou Bakayoko.
86' What a strike from Yutaro Oda! The score is 3-2.
3-2 the final result. Dundee FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Dundee FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	6
Kenneth Vargas	2
Luke McCowan	2
Lyall Cameron	2
Elton Kabangu	2
Jordan McGhee	2
Alan Forrest	2
Toby Sibbick	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2024-01-02 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–2 Ross County FC D 2023-12-27 Hibernian FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2023-12-16 Celtic FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Dundee FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC L 2023-12-30 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2023-12-26 Dundee FC 0–3 Celtic FC L 2023-12-16 Ross County FC 0–1 Dundee FC W 2023-12-09 Rangers FC 3–1 Dundee FC L 2023-12-02 Motherwell FC 3–3 Dundee FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.08 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Dundee FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC50% Draw22% Dundee FC28%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Dundee FC

50%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC35% Draw39% Dundee FC26%

Actual: Dundee FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

8.2%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.6%

2 – 0

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

3.9%

1 – 3

3.7%

0 – 0

3.5%

3 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Dundee FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	19%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	15%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.