Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Heart of Midlothian FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Dundee FC

Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 18,185 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Jordan McGhee

0–2 38' Lyall Cameron

Calem Nieuwenhof 57' 1–2

Dexter Lembikisa 74' 2–2

Yutaro Oda 86' 3–2

Y 41' Jordan McGhee

Y 45' Dara Costelloe

Dexter Lembikisa 49' Y

Y 60' Amadou Bakayoko

Y 65' Owen Dodgson

Y 77' Curtis Main

Y 79' Lee Ashcroft

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Dundee FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Assistant 1 Alastair Mather
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Dundee FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC 2023-08-27 Dundee FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-02-09 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Dundee FC 2021-10-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Dundee FC 2019-03-09 Dundee FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
02 Jan	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
30 Dec	Ross County FC	H	2–2	D
27 Dec	Hibernian FC	A	1–0	W
23 Dec	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
16 Dec	Celtic FC	A	2–0	W

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–3	L
30 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–2	D
26 Dec	Celtic FC	H	0–3	L
16 Dec	Ross County FC	A	1–0	W
09 Dec	Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
02 Dec	Motherwell FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Dundee FC
#1	Position	#9
70	Points	33
33	Played	33
21 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 16
58	Scored	34
28	Conceded	53
+30	GD	-19
2.12	PPG	1.00
64%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Dundee FC is underway.
5' Calem Nieuwenhof has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 215 appearances.
10' Aidan Denholm needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
15' Dundee FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
19' What a moment for Jordan McGhee! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
24' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Dundee FC's compact 5-3-2.
29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
32' Aidan Denholm makes way for Alan Forrest at the 32 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
38' Lyall Cameron adds to his 1 season tally! Dundee FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordan McGhee on 41.
45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dara Costelloe.
46' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Jorge Grant comes on to replace Alex Cochrane.
49' That looks like a foul for a card for Dexter Lembikisa.
49' The supporters are chanting for Josh Mulligan. He replaces Luke McCowan on 49 minute.
54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Cochrane is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
56' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Macaulay Tait is hanging Beni Baningime on the field on 56 minute.
57' Against the run of play, Calem Nieuwenhof has scored! This game has turned on its head.
60' Dundee FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
65' The referee calls foul for Owen Dodgson. He receives a card.
70' Time for substitution for Dundee FC. Zach Robinson is replaced by Curtis Main.
73' The supporters are chanting for Yutaro Oda. He replaces Kenneth Vargas on 73 minute.
74' The Jamaica Dexter Lembikisa breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 2-2!
77' The referee calls foul for Curtis Main. He receives a card.
79' Poor challenge from Lee Ashcroft. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
81' The supporters are chanting for Charlie Reilly. He replaces Amadou Bakayoko on 81 minute.
86' Assisted by Alan Forrest with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yutaro Oda makes no mistake. 3-2!
The referee brings this contest to a close. Heart of Midlothian FC take all three points.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Dundee FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	6
Alan Forrest	2
Kenneth Vargas	2
Luke McCowan	2
Lyall Cameron	2
Elton Kabangu	2
Jordan McGhee	2
Yutaro Oda	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2024-01-02 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–2 Ross County FC D 2023-12-27 Hibernian FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-12-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2023-12-16 Celtic FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Dundee FC Form

2024-01-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Dundee FC L 2023-12-30 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2023-12-26 Dundee FC 0–3 Celtic FC L 2023-12-16 Ross County FC 0–1 Dundee FC W 2023-12-09 Rangers FC 3–1 Dundee FC L 2023-12-02 Motherwell FC 3–3 Dundee FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Dundee FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC60% Draw22% Dundee FC18%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Dundee FC

40%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC44% Draw40% Dundee FC16%

Actual: Dundee FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.1%

1 – 0

7.9%

3 – 1

6.8%

3 – 0

6.4%

0 – 0

5.4%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 2

4.7%

4 – 1

3.8%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Dundee FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	18%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	22%	39%
-0.5	61%	—	39%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.