Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
18 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–3 L
04 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
27 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
21 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
13 Sep 1. FC Köln H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Hamburger SV VfL Wolfsburg
#19 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.56 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV24% Draw37% VfL Wolfsburg39%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
61%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
76%
Hamburger SV or VfL Wolfsburg
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV13% Draw64% VfL Wolfsburg23%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.4%
2 – 2
1.6%
1 – 3
1.6%
3 – 1
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 15% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 25% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
42%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.