Friday , 28 August 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Chapecoense AF, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 30 Aug 2026 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Chapecoense AFSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
08 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
16 Aug EC Bahia H 3–3 D
08 Aug Coritiba FBC A 1–2 L
25 Jul Santos FC A 2–2 D
23 Jul CR Flamengo H 0–4 L
17 Jul EC Bahia A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Chapecoense AF
#16 Position #20
25 Points 14
23 Played 23
6 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 2 / 8 / 13
24 Scored 24
31 Conceded 46
-7 GD -22
1.09 PPG 0.61
26% Win % 9%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
13% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season

Gremio FBPA are 16th (25 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
/4
16-30
4/6
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
1/4
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Chapecoense AF
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A

H2H

Predictions

1.83 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Gremio FBPA55% Draw24% Chapecoense AF21%

Both Teams to Score

Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.88

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
79%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
45%
Gremio FBPA or Chapecoense AF
76%

Half-Time Result

Gremio FBPA39% Draw44% Chapecoense AF17%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Chapecoense AF covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
35%
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.