CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

0 – 2

Full Time

Gil Vicente FC

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC — Primeira Liga .

CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Gil Vicente FC 34 games · 50 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	82
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	34	80
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	34	59
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	34	50
7	Moreirense FC	34	43
8	FC Arouca	34	42
9	Vitória SC	34	42
10	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
11	FC Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave FC	34	36
13	CD Santa Clara	34	36
14	CD Nacional	34	34
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	34	30
16	Casa Pia AC	34	30
17	CD Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Gil Vicente FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-09 CD Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente FC 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC 2024-12-07 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2021-03-19 Gil Vicente FC 2–0 CD Nacional 2020-11-08 CD Nacional 2–1 Gil Vicente FC

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Gil Vicente FC	H	0–2	L
17 May	FC Porto	A	0–3	L
10 May	Rio Ave FC	H	3–3	D
03 May	Vitória SC	H	1–2	L
27 Apr	Moreirense FC	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	Gil Vicente FC	H	0–3	L

Gil Vicente FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	CD Nacional	A	2–0	W
16 May	Rio Ave FC	A	1–1	D
10 May	FC Arouca	H	1–1	D
04 May	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	1–2	L
26 Apr	SC Farense	H	1–0	W
19 Apr	CD Nacional	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

CD Nacional		Gil Vicente FC
#14	Position	#6
34	Points	50
34	Played	34
9 / 7 / 18	W / D / L	13 / 11 / 10
37	Scored	47
45	Conceded	38
-8	GD	+9
1.00	PPG	1.47
26%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

35% Clean Sheets
Gil Vicente FC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Gil Vicente FC are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

3/1

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gil Vicente FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/3

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CD Nacional to score. At the same time, Gil Vicente FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
With this win, Gil Vicente FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Gil Vicente FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Felix Correia	2
Santi Garcia	1
Pablo Felipe	1
Joao Camacho	1
Bryan Rochez	1
Rodrigao	1
Pedro Marques	1
Samuel	1

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

2025-08-09 CD Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente FC L 2025-05-17 FC Porto 3–0 CD Nacional L 2025-05-10 CD Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave FC D 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC L 2025-04-27 Moreirense FC 1–1 CD Nacional D 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC L

Gil Vicente FC Form

2025-08-09 CD Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente FC W 2025-05-16 Rio Ave FC 1–1 Gil Vicente FC D 2025-05-10 Gil Vicente FC 1–1 FC Arouca D 2025-05-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2–1 Gil Vicente FC L 2025-04-26 Gil Vicente FC 1–0 SC Farense W 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.92 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.71 Gil Vicente FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional21% Draw26% Gil Vicente FC53%

Actual: Gil Vicente FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.63

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

47%

Draw or Gil Vicente FC

79%

CD Nacional or Gil Vicente FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional16% Draw46% Gil Vicente FC38%

Actual: Gil Vicente FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

0 – 1

11.5%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 0

9.2%

0 – 3

5.8%

1 – 0

5.7%

1 – 3

5.4%

2 – 1

2 – 2

4.3%

2 – 0

2 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	Gil Vicente FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	24%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	17%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Gil Vicente FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.