Saturday , 14 November 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 14 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
10 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–2 L
06 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–1 L
03 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–0 D
30 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
16 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Suita City Football Stadium as Gamba Osaka face off against Sagan Tosu FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 7' Kosuke Yamazaki was booked on 7.
  • 12' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shu Kurata made 414 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 22' The 34-year-old Akito Fukuta has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cayman Togashi on 32 minutes.
  • 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 41' Yoichi Naganuma has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
  • 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' GOAL! Isa Sakamoto fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 55' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 56.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Shu Kurata as he leaves the pitch. Shoji Toyama steps in for Gamba Osaka.
  • 66' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Marcelo Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Akito Fukuta steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Takeru Kishimoto comes on to replace Shota Fukuoka.
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' Isa Sakamoto makes way for Issam Jebali at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
  • 83' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
  • 88' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Kosuke Yamazaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • The points are shared — Gamba Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka49% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.