Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Gamba Osaka

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 14 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 7' Kosuke Yamazaki

Y 32' Cayman Togashi

R 56' Keisuke Sakaiya

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
10 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–2	L
06 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–1	L
03 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–0	D
30 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
16 Mar	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–1	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
07 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–3	L
03 Apr	Vissel Kobe	H	0–0	D
30 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	A	1–3	L
16 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–2	L
09 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Isa Sakamoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
7' The referee calls foul for Kosuke Yamazaki. He receives a card.
12' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
27' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
32' Controversy at the stadium! Cayman Togashi argues furiously but the card stands.
37' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
41' The deadlock is broken! Yoichi Naganuma gets on the scoresheet on 41 minutes.
46' Japan international So Kawahara has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
50' Brilliant from the ! Isa Sakamoto makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 45.
55' Tokuma Suzuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
56' Poor challenge from Keisuke Sakaiya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
59' The supporters are chanting for Taichi Kikuchi. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 59 minute.
61' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Shu Kurata has done his job and it is now time for Shoji Toyama to step up.
66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 403 games and scored 377 goals.
71' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
73' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Marcelo Ryan is withdrawn and Akito Fukuta gets his opportunity.
75' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 75 minute. Shota Fukuoka leaves to be changed by Takeru Kishimoto.
80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
81' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Isa Sakamoto has done his job and it is now time for Issam Jebali to step up.
83' Ryonosuke Kabayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 83 minute.
88' Genta Miura, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gamba Osaka to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 81'
8
Ryotaro Meshino
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 81'
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 61'
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 75'
31
Aolin Zhang
27
Rin Mito

Coach Dani Poyatos

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Issam Jebali	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-04-10 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-03 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-03-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Jubilo Iwata W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka49% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

76%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

51%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.6%

0 – 1

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.