Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023

Fortaleza EC

4 – 2

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 20' Gabriel Pirani

Y 21' Gabriel Pirani

Y 23' John Kennedy

Y 87' Keno

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	28	60
2	SE Palmeiras	28	57
3	CA Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense FC	28	48
5	EC Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro EC	28	45
7	CA Mineiro	27	40
8	Santos FC	27	38
9	Coritiba FBC	28	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	36
11	Sao Paulo FC	27	36
12	Botafogo FR	28	35
13	EC Vitoria	28	33
14	SC Corinthians Paulista	28	32
15	Mirassol FC	28	32
16	CR Vasco da Gama	27	31
17	Gremio FBPA	28	29
18	SC Internacional	28	28
19	Clube do Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense AF	27	18

Head-to-Head

Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC 2021-10-07 Fluminense FC 0–2 Fortaleza EC 2021-06-20 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Fluminense FC	H	4–2	W
23 Apr	Coritiba FBC	A	3–0	W
15 Apr	SC Internacional	H	1–1	D
13 Nov	Santos FC	A	2–0	W
09 Nov	RB Bragantino	H	6–0	W
06 Nov	AC Goianiense	H	1–1	D

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Fortaleza EC	A	2–4	L
22 Apr	CA Paranaense	H	2–0	W
15 Apr	America FC	A	3–0	W
13 Nov	RB Bragantino	A	1–0	W
09 Nov	Goiás EC	H	3–0	W
05 Nov	Sao Paulo FC	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

4/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

4/5

76+

14/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	7 G	4 A
Agustin Canobbio	5 G	3 A
Luciano Acosta	4 G	5 A
Rodrigo Castillo	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
5' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' Gabriel Pirani was booked on 20.
21' A moment of madness from Gabriel Pirani on 21 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
23' That is a Yellow card for Fluminense FC. John Kennedy will be fuming at that decision.
28' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
29' Thiago Galhardo does the damage! The net is bulging and Fortaleza EC surge ahead!
34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 394 games and scored 427 goals.
35' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Moises Vieira makes it 2-0.
40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
45' Alexsander Gomes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
46' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Paulo Ganso on, Gabriel Pirani off on 46 minutes.
47' Alan does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
52' Argentina international Emanuel Britez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Moises Vieira makes it 3-1.
64' Manoel Messias makes way for German Cano at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
68' The supporters are chanting for Guilherme Augusto. He replaces Thiago Galhardo on 68 minute.
69' John Kennedy does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
69' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Thiago Galhardo is replaced by Guilherme Augusto on 69 minute.
74' The crowd applauds Calebe as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Sasha steps in for Fortaleza EC.
77' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Tomas Pochettino is withdrawn and Yago Pikachu gets his opportunity.
79' Goal! Hercules scores his 15 goal in 266 matches.
84' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 84 minute. Moises Vieira leaves to be changed by Romarinho.
85' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Caio Alexandre is replaced by Jose Welison.
86' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Moises Vieira is withdrawn and Romarinho gets his opportunity.
87' That is a Yellow card for Fluminense FC. Keno will be fuming at that decision.
90' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Lele is replaced by Thiago Santos on 90 minute.
The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

91
Thiago Galhardo ↓ Guilherme Augusto 68'
16
Fernando Miguel
6
Bruno Pacheco
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Yago Pikachu 74'
19
Emanuel Britez
8
Caio Alexandre ↓ Jose Welison 85'
27
Calebe ↓ Lucas Sasha 74'
4
Titi
2
Tinga
35
Hercules
21
Moises Vieira ↓ Romarinho 84'

Bench

22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 74'
5
Marcelo Conceicao
88
Lucas Sasha ↑ 74'
18
Silvio Romero
13
Lucas Esteves
11
Romarinho ↑ 84'
17
Jose Welison ↑ 85'
20
Dudu
30
Mauricio
25
Vinicius
3
Brayan Ceballos
29
Guilherme Augusto ↑ 68'

Coach Juan Pablo Vojvoda

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

44
David Braz
2
Samuel Xavier
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 90'
30
Felipe Melo
11
Keno ↑ 64'
4
Vitor Mendes
14
German Cano ↑ 64'
10
Paulo Ganso ↑ 46'
22
Pedro Rangel
21
Jhon Arias ↑ 46'
37
Giovanni
32
Isaac

Coach Fernando Diniz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
German Cano	5
Moises Vieira	3
Thiago Galhardo	2
Robson	2
Juan Lucero	2
Titi	2
Marinho	1
Luiz Henrique	1

Head to Head

Fortaleza EC Form

2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC W 2023-04-23 Coritiba FBC 0–3 Fortaleza EC W 2023-04-15 Fortaleza EC 1–1 SC Internacional D 2022-11-13 Santos FC 0–2 Fortaleza EC W 2022-11-09 Fortaleza EC 6–0 RB Bragantino W 2022-11-06 Fortaleza EC 1–1 AC Goianiense D

Fluminense FC Form

2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC L 2023-04-22 Fluminense FC 2–0 CA Paranaense W 2023-04-15 America FC 0–3 Fluminense FC W 2022-11-13 RB Bragantino 0–1 Fluminense FC W 2022-11-09 Fluminense FC 3–0 Goiás EC W 2022-11-05 Fluminense FC 3–1 Sao Paulo FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.73 Fortaleza EC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Fortaleza EC48% Draw25% Fluminense FC27%

Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw

73%

Draw or Fluminense FC

52%

Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Fortaleza EC34% Draw44% Fluminense FC22%

Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.8%

2 – 1

9.1%

1 – 0

7.7%

2 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

6.7%

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap	Fortaleza EC covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	21%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.