Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FCSerie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Fluminense FC H 4–2 W
23 Apr Coritiba FBC A 3–0 W
15 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
13 Nov Santos FC A 2–0 W
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 6–0 W
06 Nov AC Goianiense H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–4 L
22 Apr CA Paranaense H 2–0 W
15 Apr America FC A 3–0 W
13 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–0 W
09 Nov Goiás EC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC48% Draw25% Fluminense FC27%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC34% Draw44% Fluminense FC22%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.