Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Recife | A | 4–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fortaleza EC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Guilherme Arana made 427 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
- 25' Brazil international Diogo Barbosa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Gabriel Teixeira has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 401 appearances.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomas Pochettino makes it 1-0.
- 46' Ruan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 51' Bernard needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jorge Sampaoli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Hulk by Gabriel Teixeira on 65 minute.
- 67' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Jose Herrera departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
- 70' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Alexsander Gomes has done his job and it is now time for Gustavo Scarpa to step up.
- 75' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 76' Fortaleza EC make a change. Pierre trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Pereira on 76 minutes.
- 77' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Moises is hanging Tomas Pochettino on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
- 84' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Cadu on, Guilherme Arana off on 84 minutes.
- 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- CA Mineiro will have plenty to reflect on. Fortaleza EC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Moises 77'
- 88
- 33
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 67'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Lucas Crispim 67'
- 14
-
30
Pierre ↓ Matheus Pereira 76'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 67'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 67'
- 20
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 67'
- 23
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↑ 76'
- 13
- 9
- 2
- 36
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↑ 67'
-
96
Moises ↑ 77'
- 34
Coach
Martin Palermo
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 17
- 92
-
11
Bernard ↓ Gabriel Menino 84'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Cadu 84'
- 14
-
16
Ruan ↓ Renzo Saravia 70'
- 21
-
7
Hulk ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 65'
- 5
Bench
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 70'
- 38
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 70'
- 8
- 18
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 84'
- 2
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 65'
- 1
-
42
Cadu ↑ 84'
- 23
- 31
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paulinho | 3 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Deyverson | 3 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Gabriel Dias | 2 |
| Romarinho | 2 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Mineiro
53%
Fortaleza EC or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.