Saturday , 12 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
John Kennedy 19' 1–0
Agustin Canobbio 44' 2–0
2–1 79' Matheus Doria

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
03 May SC Internacional A 0–2 L
26 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–1 W
19 Apr Santos FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
10 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–3 L
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Sao Paulo FC
#4 Position #10
45 Points 33
26 Played 25
12 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 10
40 Scored 31
32 Conceded 28
+8 GD +3
1.73 PPG 1.32
46% Win % 36%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (45 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
/8
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 5 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Maracana will turn into a battlefield for Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' Enzo Diaz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Fluminense FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Fabio, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 19' Magnificent from John Kennedy! That is 22 goals in 391 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' GOAL! John Kennedy scores on 20.
  • 25' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Andre Silva.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' What composure from Agustin Canobbio! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 45' GOAL! Agustin Canobbio fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hercules made 266 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 391 games and scored 421 goals.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 65' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 67' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 67.
  • 72' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a card for Enzo Diaz.
  • 79' GOAL! Matheus Doria fires home to make it 4-1!
  • 84' Brazil international Cauly has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 86' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Damian Bobadilla on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC54% Draw24% Sao Paulo FC22%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
46%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC38% Draw43% Sao Paulo FC19%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.