Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fenerbahce SK vs FC Lugano, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2

Tue 30 Jul 2024 · 17:00 UTC Sukru Saracoglu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fenerbahce SK vs FC LuganoChampions League Q at Sukru Saracoglu.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones

Head-to-Head

2
Fenerbahce SK 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals FC Lugano

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul FC Lugano H 2–1 W
23 Jul FC Lugano A 4–3 W
16 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
09 Mar Sevilla FC A 0–2 L
03 Nov FK Dynamo Kyiv A 2–0 W
27 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Fenerbahce SK A 1–2 L
23 Jul Fenerbahce SK H 3–4 L
31 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
24 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–2 L
12 Dec FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–1 D
28 Nov FC København H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fenerbahce SK
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fenerbahce SK is hosting FC Lugano for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Fenerbahce SK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 7' Goal! Hadj Mahmoud scores his 1 goal in 10 matches.
  • 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' FC Lugano started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
  • 22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dusan Tadic, as he is very good at scoring at Sukru Saracoglu with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' The supporters are chanting for Ismail Yuksek. He replaces Fred on 31 minute.
  • 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mattia Zanotti suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' Ousmane Doumbia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Fenerbahce SK team. Rade Krunic is replaced by Mert Hakan Yandas on 46 minute.
  • 51' FC Lugano seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' FC Lugano player sees a card in front of him.
  • 57' It’s a booking for FC Lugano player. Hadj Mahmoud gets a card.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ignacio Aliseda on 58.
  • 59' GOAL! Edin Dzeko scores on 59. Assisted by Mert Hakan Yandas
  • 60' FC Lugano manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kacper Przybylko is hanging Mattia Bottani on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' The FC Lugano manager makes a substitution. Hadj Mahmoud departs to be replaced by Anto Grgic.
  • 70' The Fenerbahce SK manager makes a substitution. Bright Osayi-Samuel departs to be replaced by Mert Muldur.
  • 73' The FC Lugano manager makes a substitution. Uran Bislimi departs to be replaced by Daniel dos Santos.
  • 78' It’s high time José Mourinho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' That looks like a foul for a card for Mattia Zanotti.
  • 84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Edin Dzeko.
  • Full Time. Fenerbahce SK beats FC Lugano

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Fenerbahce SK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FC Lugano xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fenerbahce SK56% Draw23% FC Lugano21%
Actual: Fenerbahce SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Fenerbahce SK or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Lugano
44%
Fenerbahce SK or FC Lugano
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fenerbahce SK37% Draw43% FC Lugano20%
Actual: FC Lugano win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Fenerbahce SK

Handicap Fenerbahce SK covers Push FC Lugano covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
30%
FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.