Fenerbahce SK vs FC Lugano, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2
Overview
Match Preview
Fenerbahce SK vs FC Lugano — Champions League Q at Sukru Saracoglu.
- Fenerbahce SK 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- FC Lugano 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Jones
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | FC Lugano | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jul | FC Lugano | A | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Mar | Sevilla FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Sevilla FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Dynamo Kyiv | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | Fenerbahce SK | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Fenerbahce SK | H | 3–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | FK Dynamo Kyiv | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | FC Kobenhavn | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce SK this season
Fenerbahce SK this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fenerbahce SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Lugano kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Fenerbahce SK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Lugano backline.
- 7' Goal! Hadj Mahmoud scores his 1 goal in 10 matches.
- 12' The 23-year-old Daniel dos Santos has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 17' Turkey international Caglar Soyuncu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fenerbahce SK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' Another change for Fenerbahce SK made on 31 minute. Fred leaves to be changed by Ismail Yuksek.
- 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. José Mourinho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Fresh legs for Fenerbahce SK! Mert Hakan Yandas comes on to replace Rade Krunic.
- 51' FC Lugano seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Ousmane Doumbia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hadj Mahmoud on 57.
- 58' Ignacio Aliseda is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 59' What composure from Edin Dzeko! The Bosnia-Herzegovina international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 60' The FC Lugano manager makes a substitution. Mattia Bottani departs to be replaced by Kacper Przybylko.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 66' The crowd applauds Hadj Mahmoud as he leaves the pitch. Anto Grgic steps in for FC Lugano.
- 70' It is a substitution in Fenerbahce SK team. Bright Osayi-Samuel is replaced by Mert Muldur on 70 minute.
- 73' The whistle greets Uran Bislimi as he departs to be replaced by Daniel dos Santos.
- 78' A quiet spell here at Sukru Saracoglu. Fenerbahce SK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 79' The referee has no hesitation. Mattia Zanotti is booked for FC Lugano — card on 79.
- 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
- 86' The referee has no hesitation. Edin Dzeko is booked for Fenerbahce SK — card on 86.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fenerbahce SK 2-1 FC Lugano.
Lineups
Fenerbahce SK Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 2
- 35
- 21
- 10
- 6
- 9
- 33
- 53
- 40
- 24
Bench
- 8
- 23
- 97
- 50
- 11
- 16
- 54
- 5
- 70
- 28
- 1
- 17
Coach
José Mourinho
FC Lugano Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 22
- 5
- 23
- 46
-
29
Hadj Mahmoud ↓ Anto Grgic 66'
- 25
- 10
- 20
- 31
- 6
Bench
- 99
- 58
- 2
- 26
- 17
-
21
Yanis Cimignani ↑ 66'
-
27
Daniel dos Santos ↑ 73'
-
8
Anto Grgic ↑ 66'
- 7
- 18
- 28
-
93
Kacper Przybylko ↑ 60'
Coach
Mattia Croci-Torti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Edin Dzeko | 4 |
| Uran Bislimi | 1 |
| Sebastian Szymanski | 1 |
| Hadj Mahmoud | 1 |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | 1 |
| Milton Valenzuela | 1 |
| Ayman El Wafi | 1 |
Fenerbahce SK Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
Fenerbahce SK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
FC Lugano xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fenerbahce SK win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Fenerbahce SK or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Lugano
44%
Fenerbahce SK or FC Lugano
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Lugano win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Fenerbahce SK
| Handicap | Fenerbahce SK covers | Push | FC Lugano covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

