Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Lugano vs Fenerbahce SK, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2

Champions League Qualification · 2024
FC Lugano
3 – 4
Full Time
Fenerbahce SK
Tue 23 Jul 2024 · 18:30 UTC Stockhorn Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 18' Caglar Soyuncu
Ayman El Wafi 29' Y
Y 45' Dusan Tadic
Antonios Papadopoulos 59' Y
Mattia Bottani 69' Y
Y 70' Jayden Oosterwolde
Anto Grgic 71' Y
Mattia Zanotti 77' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lugano vs Fenerbahce SK — Champions League Q at Stockhorn Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tiago Martins

Head-to-Head

2
FC Lugano 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Fenerbahce SK
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-23 FC Lugano 3–4 Fenerbahce SK

Recent Form

FC Lugano
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Fenerbahce SK H 3–4 L
31 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
24 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–2 L
12 Dec FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–1 D
28 Nov FC København H 0–1 L
07 Nov Malmo FF H 0–0 D
Fenerbahce SK
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul FC Lugano A 4–3 W
16 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
09 Mar Sevilla FC A 0–2 L
03 Nov FK Dynamo Kyiv A 2–0 W
27 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–3 D
13 Oct AEK Larnaka A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fenerbahce SK
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stockhorn Arena that hosts another battle between FC Lugano and Fenerbahce SK.
  • 4' Ayman El Wafi puts FC Lugano on the lead.
  • 9' FC Lugano is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sebastian Szymanski made 117 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 18' The referee shows Fenerbahce SK player a card on 18.
  • 23' Jayden Oosterwolde needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' FC Lugano started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 29' The referee shows FC Lugano player a card on 29.
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Lugano that had 10 games and scored 6 goals.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Dusan Tadic. He receives a card.
  • 46' What a strike from Edin Dzeko! The score is 1-1.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ferdi Kadioglu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Lugano is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' Antonios Papadopoulos was booked on 59.
  • 61' Lars-Lukas Mai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yanis Cimignani on 61 minute.
  • 64' Sensational shot from Uran Bislimi. FC Lugano is back in the lead.
  • 67' GOAL! Edin Dzeko scores on 67. Assisted by Sebastian Szymanski
  • 68' Another change for Fenerbahce SK made on 68 minute. Dusan Tadic leaves to be changed by Ferdi Kadioglu.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattia Bottani on 69.
  • 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jayden Oosterwolde on 70.
  • 71' The referee calls foul for Anto Grgic. He receives a card.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Kacper Przybylko. He replaces Ignacio Aliseda on 71 minute.
  • 74' Sensational shot from Ferdi Kadioglu. Fenerbahce SK is back in the lead.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Mattia Zanotti.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Hadj Mahmoud. He replaces Anto Grgic on 79 minute.
  • 80' Another change for Fenerbahce SK made on 80 minute. Edin Dzeko leaves to be changed by Cenk Tosun.
  • 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Fenerbahce SK team. Fred is replaced by Mert Hakan Yandas on 86 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-4.

Lineups

FC Lugano Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mattia Croci-Torti

Fenerbahce SK Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach José Mourinho

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 FC Lugano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for: FC Lugano or Fenerbahce SK 76% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lugano32% Draw24% Fenerbahce SK44%
Actual: Fenerbahce SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FC Lugano or Draw
56%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
68%
FC Lugano or Fenerbahce SK
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lugano27% Draw40% Fenerbahce SK33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Lugano

Handicap FC Lugano covers Push Fenerbahce SK covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 19% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.