FC Lugano vs Fenerbahçe SK, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2
Overview
Match Preview
FC Lugano vs Fenerbahce SK — Champions League Q at Stockhorn Arena.
- FC Lugano 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fenerbahce SK 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tiago Martins
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | Fenerbahçe SK | H | 3–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | FK Dynamo Kyiv | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | FC Kobenhavn | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Malmo FF | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | FC Lugano | A | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Mar | Sevilla FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Sevilla FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Dynamo Kyiv | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 13 Oct | AEK Larnaka | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
Fenerbahçe SK this season
Fenerbahçe SK this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fenerbahçe SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fenerbahçe SK
| Talisca | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Lugano and Fenerbahce SK has kicked off!
- 4' Against the run of play, Ayman El Wafi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 9' It looks surprising Fenerbahce SK does not make any changes. Mert Muldur has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fenerbahce SK that had 195 games and scored 91 goals.
- 18' The referee has no hesitation. Caglar Soyuncu is booked for Fenerbahce SK — card on 18.
- 23' It’s high time José Mourinho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 29' A moment of madness from Ayman El Wafi on 29 minutes earns him a card. FC Lugano will be frustrated.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 39' The 32-year-old Alexander Djiku has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' It looks like no one’s ball. Fenerbahce SK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' Poor challenge from Dusan Tadic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' GOAL! Edin Dzeko fires home to make it 1-1!
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 59' The referee has no hesitation. Antonios Papadopoulos is booked for FC Lugano — card on 59.
- 61' The FC Lugano manager makes a substitution. Yanis Cimignani departs to be replaced by Lars-Lukas Mai.
- 64' The Kosovo Uran Bislimi breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 2-1!
- 67' What an equalizer from Edin Dzeko!
- 68' Ferdi Kadioglu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dusan Tadic on 68 minute.
- 69' Mattia Bottani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Jayden Oosterwolde. He receives a card.
- 71' Controversy at the stadium! Anto Grgic argues furiously but the card stands.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Kacper Przybylko. He replaces Ignacio Aliseda on 71 minute.
- 74' The Turkey Ferdi Kadioglu breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 2-3!
- 77' Mattia Zanotti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 79' Time for substitution for FC Lugano. Anto Grgic is replaced by Hadj Mahmoud.
- 80' Time for substitution for Fenerbahce SK. Edin Dzeko is replaced by Cenk Tosun.
- 85' Rade Krunic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 86' The Fenerbahce SK bench stirs into life. Fred is withdrawn and Mert Hakan Yandas gets his opportunity.
- 3-4 the final result. FC Lugano will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Lugano Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 22
- 23
- 46
-
8
Anto Grgic ↓ Hadj Mahmoud 79'
-
10
Mattia Bottani ↓ Hicham Mahou 71'
- 20
- 21
- 25
- 31
- 6
Bench
- 58
- 99
- 2
- 5
-
17
Lars-Lukas Mai ↑ 61'
- 26
- 7
-
18
Hicham Mahou ↑ 71'
-
27
Daniel dos Santos ↑ 71'
- 28
-
29
Hadj Mahmoud ↑ 79'
-
93
Kacper Przybylko ↑ 71'
Coach
Mattia Croci-Torti
Fenerbahce SK Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
-
35
Fred ↓ Mert Hakan Yandas 86'
- 21
-
10
Dusan Tadic ↓ Ferdi Kadioglu 68'
- 6
-
9
Edin Dzeko ↓ Cenk Tosun 80'
- 33
- 53
- 40
-
11
Ryan Kent ↓ Irfan Kahveci 68'
- 24
Bench
-
7
Ferdi Kadioglu ↑ 68'
-
8
Mert Hakan Yandas ↑ 86'
-
23
Cenk Tosun ↑ 80'
- 50
-
16
Mert Muldur ↑ 68'
- 54
- 5
- 70
- 28
-
17
Irfan Kahveci ↑ 68'
- 94
- 67
- 95
Coach
José Mourinho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Edin Dzeko | 4 |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | 1 |
| Milton Valenzuela | 1 |
| Ayman El Wafi | 1 |
| Uran Bislimi | 1 |
| Sebastian Szymanski | 1 |
| Hadj Mahmoud | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Lugano Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69
FC Lugano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for:
FC Lugano or Fenerbahce SK 76% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fenerbahce SK win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
FC Lugano or Draw
56%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
68%
FC Lugano or Fenerbahce SK
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Lugano
| Handicap | FC Lugano covers | Push | Fenerbahce SK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

