FK Ural vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Ural

1 – 4

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Centralniy HT 45' · FT 45'

Danijel Miskic 42' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Ural vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Centralniy.

FK Ural 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Ural 16 games · Avg 3.4 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 FK Ural 1–4 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-08-26 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–0 FK Ural 2023-04-01 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–0 FK Ural 2022-08-28 FK Ural 0–4 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-04-16 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–1 FK Ural

Recent Form

FK Ural

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–4	L
02 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
08 Dec	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–2	L
02 Dec	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	0–1	L
26 Nov	FK Krasnodar	H	3–1	W
11 Nov	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–3	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	FK Ural	A	4–1	W
02 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–0	D
09 Dec	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	1–3	L
25 Nov	PFK Sochi	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	FK Krasnodar	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

–/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg kicks off things out of here…
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Ural needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Sergeev, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Centralniy with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
15' It’s high time Viktor Goncharenko made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Guilherme Schettine suffering a number of foals already.
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
38' What a strike from Douglas Santos! The score is 0-1.
42' The referee calls foul for Danijel Miskic. He receives a card.
46' Eric Bicfalvi is replacing Guilherme Schettine for the FK Ural side.
51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Ural that had 337 games and scored 194 goals.
56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Strahinja Erakovic made 245 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
57' Goal! Andrei Mostovoi scores his 38 goal in 394 matches.
62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
63' Fanil Sungatulin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ibrahima Cisse on 63 minute.
67' What a strike from Mateo Cassierra! The score is 0-3.
70' It is a substitution in FK Ural team. Aleksey Ionov is replaced by Timur Ayupov on 70 minute.
73' The whistle greets Mateo Cassierra as he departs to be replaced by Ivan Sergeev.
74' The supporters are chanting for Pedrinho Santos. He replaces Artur Guimaraes on 74 minute.
79' Aleksey Ionov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
81' What a strike from Ivan Sergeev! The score is 0-4.
83' The supporters are chanting for Gustavo Mantuan. He replaces Andrei Mostovoi on 83 minute.
86' Time for substitution for FK Ural. Italo Fernando is replaced by Igor Dmitriev.
Full Time. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg beats FK Ural

Lineups

FK Ural Lineups

Starting XI

44
Ibrahima Cisse ↓ Fanil Sungatulin 63'
–
Aleksey Ionov ↓ Timur Ayupov 70'
1
Ilya Pomazun
2
Silvije Begic
8
Danijel Miskic ↓ Ilya Ishkov 63'
9
Guilherme Schettine ↓ Eric Bicfalvi 46'
16
Italo Fernando ↓ Igor Dmitriev 86'
15
Denis Kulakov
24
Egor Filipenko
17
Vladislav Malkevich
–
Valeriy Bocherov

Bench

Coach Viktor Goncharenko

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

–
Artur Guimaraes ↓ Pedrinho Santos 74'
30
Mateo Cassierra ↓ Ivan Sergeev 73'
3
Douglas Santos
8
Wendel ↓ Wilson Isidor 86'
6
Mario Fernandes ↓ Nuraly Alip 83'
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
–
Nino
17
Andrei Mostovoi ↓ Gustavo Mantuan 83'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	8
Artem Dzyuba	6
Ivan Sergeev	4
Mateo Cassierra	3
Malcom	3
Sebastian Driussi	3
Yuri Zheleznov	2
Sebastian Driussi	2

Head to Head

FK Ural Form

2024-03-09 FK Ural 1–4 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-03-02 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Ural L 2023-12-08 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–0 FK Ural L 2023-12-02 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–0 FK Ural L 2023-11-26 FK Ural 3–1 FK Krasnodar W 2023-11-11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–1 FK Ural L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-03-09 FK Ural 1–4 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-03-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 0–0 FK Spartak Moskva D 2023-12-09 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2023-12-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2023-11-25 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–0 PFK Sochi W 2023-11-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 FK Krasnodar D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.29 FK Ural xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.13 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Ural23% Draw23% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg54%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.42

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

FK Ural or Draw

47%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

77%

FK Ural or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Ural19% Draw40% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg41%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.4%

1 – 3

6.5%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.9%

2 – 1

5.6%

0 – 3

5.2%

0 – 0

4.7%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 4

Actual

Asian Handicap — FK Ural

Handicap	FK Ural covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	21%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	17%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

FK Ural keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.