FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 29 | Points | 43 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 44 | Conceded | 30 |
| -15 | GD | -1 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadion Gazovik as FK Orenburg face off against FK Rubin Kazan in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Vera is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Orenburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. David Deogracia will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' FK Rubin Kazan have won 211 goals from 208 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 50' FK Rubin Kazan looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 55' FK Rubin Kazan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 58' What a moment for Dmitry Vorobyev! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 63' Argentina international Matias Perez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 65' That looks like a foul for a card for Dmitry Vorobyev.
- 66' A tactical swap from FK Rubin Kazan — Kasra Taheri on, Mirlind Daku off on 66 minutes.
- 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 74' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Jordhy Thompson is withdrawn and Feyttullah Gurluk gets his opportunity.
- 79' FK Orenburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Rubin Kazan's shape.
- 82' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 82.
- 83' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 83 minute. Cesar Florentin leaves to be changed by Mohammad Ghorbani.
- 85' Aleksandr Zotov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Danila Khotulev gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- 89' A stunning finish from Jimmy Marin — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 90 minute. Yaroslav Mikhailov leaves to be changed by Danila Prokhin.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FK Orenburg 3-0 FK Rubin Kazan.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Jimmy Marin 83'
- 22
- 6
- 4
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Ivan Basic 74'
- 9
- –
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 83'
- 2
- 13
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 90'
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 74'
- 3
- 12
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 83'
- 95
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- 81
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 50
- 21
- 15
-
44
Mirlind Daku ↓ Kasra Taheri 66'
- 7
- 27
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
Bench
- 19
-
10
Darko Jevtic ↑ 90'
- –
- 66
-
–
Bogdan Jocic ↑ 83'
- –
- 26
- 18
- 4
- 86
-
–
Kasra Taheri ↑ 66'
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Matias Perez | 1 |
| Joel Fameyeh | 1 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Aleksei Sutormin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
51%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

