FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rubin Kazan 14 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #8 |
| 17 | Points | 18 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 6 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 14 |
| 14 | Conceded | 18 |
| +0 | GD | -4 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 21% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
30%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Rubin Kazan
| Anderson Arroyo | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacques Siwe | 3 G | |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 G | |
| Aleksandar Jukic | 1 G | |
| Ilya Rozhkov | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan is underway.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' FK Rubin Kazan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Bogdan Jocic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 25' It’s high time Rashid Rakhimov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their trying to find a way past FK Rubin Kazan's compact .
- 40' Jordhy Thompson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 16 appearances.
- 45' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Arsen Adamov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' FK Rubin Kazan is showing some good football. However, FK Rubin Kazan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Dmitry Vorobyev makes it 1-0.
- 63' FK Rubin Kazan have won 219 goals from 218 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 65' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Dmitry Vorobyev will be fuming at that decision.
- 66' Kasra Taheri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mirlind Daku on 66 minute.
- 71' Russia international Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' The crowd applauds Jordhy Thompson as he leaves the pitch. Feyttullah Gurluk steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 79' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Rubin Kazan backline.
- 82' Cesar Florentin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
- 83' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Mohammad Ghorbani on, Cesar Florentin off on 83 minutes.
- 85' Poor challenge from Aleksandr Zotov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' GOAL! Danila Khotulev scores on 88. Assisted by Jimmy Marin
- 89' Jimmy Marin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
- 90' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Yaroslav Mikhailov by Danila Prokhin on 90 minute.
- Another three points for FK Orenburg.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Jimmy Marin 83'
- 22
- 6
- 4
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Ivan Basic 74'
- 9
- –
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 83'
- 2
- 13
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 90'
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 74'
- 3
- 12
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 83'
- 95
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- 81
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 50
- 21
- 15
-
44
Mirlind Daku ↓ Kasra Taheri 66'
- 7
- 27
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
Bench
- 19
-
10
Darko Jevtic ↑ 90'
- –
- 66
-
–
Bogdan Jocic ↑ 83'
- –
- 26
- 18
- 4
- 86
-
–
Kasra Taheri ↑ 66'
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Ricardo Alves | 1 |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Matias Perez | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
83%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
46%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.5%
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
12.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

