FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 29 | Points | 43 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 44 | Conceded | 30 |
| -15 | GD | -1 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FK Orenburg kicks off things out of here…
- 5' FK Rubin Kazan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Rubin Kazan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' The travelling FK Rubin Kazan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Darko Jevtic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Rubin Kazan tonight.
- 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' FK Rubin Kazan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 55' Cesar Florentin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' Dmitry Vorobyev doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 63' FK Rubin Kazan has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 65' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 66' The whistle greets Mirlind Daku as he departs to be replaced by Kasra Taheri.
- 71' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. FK Rubin Kazan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 74' Feyttullah Gurluk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jordhy Thompson on 74 minute.
- 79' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cesar Florentin on 82 minutes.
- 83' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 83 minute. Cesar Florentin leaves to be changed by Mohammad Ghorbani.
- 85' FK Rubin Kazan receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 88' GOAL! Danila Khotulev scores on 88. Assisted by Jimmy Marin
- 89' What a strike from Jimmy Marin! The score is 3-0.
- 90' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' FK Orenburg make a change. Yaroslav Mikhailov trudges off to be replaced by Danila Prokhin on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Jimmy Marin 83'
- 22
- 6
- 4
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Ivan Basic 74'
- 9
- –
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 83'
- 2
- 13
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 90'
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 74'
- 3
- 12
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 83'
- 95
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- 81
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 50
- 21
- 15
-
44
Mirlind Daku ↓ Kasra Taheri 66'
- 7
- 27
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
Bench
- 19
-
10
Darko Jevtic ↑ 90'
- –
- 66
-
–
Bogdan Jocic ↑ 83'
- –
- 26
- 18
- 4
- 86
-
–
Kasra Taheri ↑ 66'
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Danila Khotulev | 1 |
| Mikhail Sivakow | 1 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 1 |
| Dmitrii Poloz | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
51%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

