FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rubin Kazan 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 1 / 6 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 12 |
| 10 | Conceded | 11 |
| -3 | GD | +1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 11% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 6th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Rubin Kazan
| Anderson Arroyo | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacques Siwe | 3 G | |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 G | |
| Aleksandar Jukic | 1 G | |
| Ilya Rozhkov | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Rubin Kazan gets underway.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matias Perez made 169 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' FK Rubin Kazan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Rubin Kazan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' It’s high time David Deogracia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. David Deogracia will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' FK Rubin Kazan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
- 55' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Leo Goglichidze has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 58' What a moment for Dmitry Vorobyev! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 65' A moment of madness from Dmitry Vorobyev on 65 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 66' Kasra Taheri is replacing Mirlind Daku for the FK Rubin Kazan side.
- 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 74' Feyttullah Gurluk is replacing Jordhy Thompson for the FK Orenburg side.
- 79' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cesar Florentin on 82 minutes.
- 83' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Cesar Florentin is replaced by Mohammad Ghorbani on 83 minute.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Aleksandr Zotov is booked for FK Rubin Kazan — card on 85.
- 88' Against the run of play, Danila Khotulev has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jimmy Marin makes it 3-0.
- 90' Poor challenge from Jimmy Marin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Danila Prokhin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yaroslav Mikhailov at the 90 minute mark.
- FK Orenburg celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Jimmy Marin 83'
- 22
- 6
- 4
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Ivan Basic 74'
- 9
- –
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 83'
- 2
- 13
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 90'
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 74'
- 3
- 12
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 83'
- 95
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- 81
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 50
- 21
- 15
-
44
Mirlind Daku ↓ Kasra Taheri 66'
- 7
- 27
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
Bench
- 19
-
10
Darko Jevtic ↑ 90'
- –
- 66
-
–
Bogdan Jocic ↑ 83'
- –
- 26
- 18
- 4
- 86
-
–
Kasra Taheri ↑ 66'
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Mirlind Daku | 1 |
| Ricardo Alves | 1 |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
52%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

