FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Gazovik Stadium.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | PFK Sochi | H | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–8 | L |
| 03 Sep | FK Khimki | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | FK Ural | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | -4 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 23% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
- 5' The travelling RFK Akhmat Grozny supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Jimmy Marin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RFK Akhmat Grozny that had 394 games and scored 270 goals.
- 25' RFK Akhmat Grozny are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 28' The Burkina Faso Mohamed Konate breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 0-1!
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Georgi Sheliya suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. RFK Akhmat Grozny is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Bernard Berisha is booked for RFK Akhmat Grozny — Yellow card on 41.
- 46' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Jimmy Marin by Braian Mansilla on 46 minute.
- 51' RFK Akhmat Grozny come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 52' Vladimir Sychevoi doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RFK Akhmat Grozny backline.
- 63' RFK Akhmat Grozny manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vladimir Iljin is hanging Mohamed Konate on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' Timur Ayupov is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 71' Gamid Agalarov gets the nod from RFK Akhmat Grozny. He replaces Evgenii Kharin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Anton Shvets is booked for RFK Akhmat Grozny — Yellow card on 74.
- 76' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a Yellow card on 76.
- 78' Andrey Malykh is replacing Mateo Stamatov for the FK Orenburg side.
- 83' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 84' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Cesar Florentin by Dmitri Vorobyov on 84 minute.
- 89' Miroslav Bogosavac has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Lucas Vera is replaced by Vladimir Poluyakhtov.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Braian Mansilla 46'
- 15
- 22
- 21
- 5
-
11
Mateo Stamatov ↓ Andrey Malykh 78'
- 19
- 23
- 3
- 77
- 90
Bench
-
9
Braian Mansilla ↑ 46'
-
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↑ 46'
-
2
Vladimir Poluyakhtov ↑ 90'
- 17
- 99
- 38
- 8
- 7
-
10
Dmitri Vorobyov ↑ 84'
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↑ 78'
- 25
- 20
Coach
Marcel Licka
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 88
-
59
Evgenii Kharin ↓ Gamid Agalarov 71'
- 7
- 94
-
13
Mohamed Konate ↓ Vladimir Iljin 63'
- 96
- 8
- 17
- 25
- 21
Bench
- 15
-
29
Vladimir Iljin ↑ 63'
- 95
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
- 79
- 92
- 35
Coach
Sergei Tashuyev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Camilo | 1 |
| Artiom Timofeev | 1 |
| Vladimir Ilyin | 1 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2022-10-09
FK Orenburg
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2022-10-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2022-09-17
FK Ural
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2022-09-10
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–3
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2022-09-04
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2022-08-27
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
68%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
58%
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

