FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Gazovik Stadium.
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | PFK Sochi | H | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–8 | L |
| 03 Sep | FK Khimki | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | FK Ural | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 1 / 6 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 10 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 11% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
0%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 10th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Egas Cacintura | 3 G | 1 A |
| Georgi Melkadze | 3 G | |
| Lechi Sadulaev | 2 G | 3 A |
| Andres Alarcon | 2 G | |
| Erald Maksuti | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Gazovik Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 343 games and scored 208 goals.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Mohamed Konate doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 41' Poor challenge from Bernard Berisha. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 46' Braian Mansilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jimmy Marin on 46 minute.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cesar Florentin made 174 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 52' What an equalizer from Vladimir Sychevoi!
- 57' RFK Akhmat Grozny are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 62' A quiet spell here at Gazovik Stadium. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 63' Vladimir Iljin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mohamed Konate at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' What a strike from Timur Ayupov! The score is 2-1.
- 71' Another change for RFK Akhmat Grozny made on 71 minute. Evgenii Kharin leaves to be changed by Gamid Agalarov.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anton Shvets on 74.
- 76' Renato Gojkovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 76.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Andrey Malykh. He replaces Mateo Stamatov on 78 minute.
- 83' FK Orenburg have won 208 goals from 343 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 84' The crowd applauds Cesar Florentin as he leaves the pitch. Dmitri Vorobyov steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Lucas Vera is withdrawn and Vladimir Poluyakhtov gets his opportunity.
- 2-1 the final result. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Braian Mansilla 46'
- 15
- 22
- 21
- 5
-
11
Mateo Stamatov ↓ Andrey Malykh 78'
- 19
- 23
- 3
- 77
- 90
Bench
-
9
Braian Mansilla ↑ 46'
-
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↑ 46'
-
2
Vladimir Poluyakhtov ↑ 90'
- 17
- 99
- 38
- 8
- 7
-
10
Dmitri Vorobyov ↑ 84'
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↑ 78'
- 25
- 20
Coach
Marcel Licka
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 88
-
59
Evgenii Kharin ↓ Gamid Agalarov 71'
- 7
- 94
-
13
Mohamed Konate ↓ Vladimir Iljin 63'
- 96
- 8
- 17
- 25
- 21
Bench
- 15
-
29
Vladimir Iljin ↑ 63'
- 95
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
- 79
- 92
- 35
Coach
Sergei Tashuyev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Vladimir Ilyin | 1 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
| Ziga Skoflek | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2022-10-09
FK Orenburg
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2022-10-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2022-09-17
FK Ural
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2022-09-10
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–3
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2022-09-04
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2022-08-27
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny 73% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
68%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
59%
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

