Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel VoronezhRFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–2 L
07 Oct FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–1 L
30 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 3–1 W
24 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–3 L
17 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–0 W
03 Sep PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
08 Oct FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–0 D
01 Oct PFK Sochi H 2–0 W
25 Sep FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
17 Sep FK Ural A 0–0 D
02 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg46% Draw27% FK Fakel Voronezh27%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
54%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg35% Draw46% FK Fakel Voronezh19%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
34%
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.