FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Fakel Voronezh 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | PFK Sochi | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Ural | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Stadion Gazovik. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Cesar Florentin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' FK Fakel Voronezh fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 17' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 17.
- 22' Arsen Adamov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 27' FK Orenburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Fakel Voronezh's shape.
- 32' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Fakel Voronezh backline.
- 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Renato Gojkovic.
- 35' GOAL! Ilnur Alshin scores on 35.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Poor challenge from Evgeniy Markov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Another substitution for FK Fakel Voronezh to replace Evgeniy Markov by Nichita Motpan on 46 minute.
- 51' FK Fakel Voronezh started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' FK Fakel Voronezh is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Vladimir Obukhov on, Ivan Basic off on 58 minutes.
- 63' A change in the FK Fakel Voronezh ranks — Ruslan Magal exits the field as Thabo Cele enters on 63.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Brian Mansilla argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 73' Fedor Kudryashov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilnur Alshin at the 73 minute mark.
- 74' That is a card for FK Fakel Voronezh. Vladislav Masternoy will be fuming at that decision.
- 74' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Feyttullah Gurluk is hanging Jimmy Marin on the field on 74 minute.
- 76' Brilliant from the ! Dmitry Vorobyev makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 76.
- 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 86' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Dmitry Vorobyev is replaced by Stepan Oganesyan.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nikolai Sysuev.
- 90' Kirill Suslov gets the nod from FK Fakel Voronezh. He replaces Vyacheslav Yakimov and will look to change the dynamic.
- With this win, FK Fakel Voronezh is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 74'
- 15
- 21
- 99
- 10
- 22
- 6
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Vladimir Obukhov 58'
- 23
- 9
- 81
Bench
- 2
- 90
- 5
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↑ 58'
- 38
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 86'
- 4
- –
- 3
- 17
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- –
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
10
Ilnur Alshin ↓ Fedor Kudryashov 73'
-
14
Khyzyr Appaev ↓ Maksim Maksimov 63'
-
20
Evgeniy Markov ↓ Nichita Motpan 46'
- 23
- 33
-
28
Ruslan Magal ↓ Thabo Cele 63'
- 92
- 88
- 47
- 2
Bench
-
30
Fedor Kudryashov ↑ 73'
- 17
-
9
Maksim Maksimov ↑ 63'
- 7
- 13
-
15
Kirill Suslov ↑ 90'
-
11
Nichita Motpan ↑ 46'
- 1
- 8
-
–
Thabo Cele ↑ 63'
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 3 |
| Braian Mansilla | 2 |
| Cesar Florentin | 2 |
| Aleksandr Ektov | 1 |
| Khyzyr Appaev | 1 |
| Georgy Gongadze | 1 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Ilnur Alshin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Fakel Voronezh Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Fakel Voronezh win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
54%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Fakel Voronezh win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Fakel Voronezh covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

