Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–2 L
07 Oct FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–1 L
30 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 3–1 W
24 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–3 L
17 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–0 W
03 Sep PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
08 Oct FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–0 D
01 Oct PFK Sochi H 2–0 W
25 Sep FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
17 Sep FK Ural A 0–0 D
02 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–3 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Fakel Voronezh
#10 Position #16
17 Points 6
14 Played 14
3 / 8 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 3 / 10
14 Scored 9
14 Conceded 23
+0 GD -14
1.21 PPG 0.43
21% Win % 7%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
0% Clean Sheets
FK Fakel Voronezh this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Fakel Voronezh are 16th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Fakel Voronezh
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/4
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A
FK Fakel Voronezh
Vyacheslav Yakimov 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.7 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg52% Draw27% FK Fakel Voronezh21%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
48%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg40% Draw47% FK Fakel Voronezh13%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 25% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.