PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at Cosmos Arena.
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FK Ural | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 4–3 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | FK Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #2 |
| 32 | Points | 66 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 6 / 4 |
| 35 | Scored | 60 |
| 50 | Conceded | 23 |
| -15 | GD | +37 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 27% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Cosmos Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' The 23-year-old Nikita Krivtsov has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 17' Kady Borges has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 17.
- 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' Poor challenge from Franco Orozco. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Krasnodar that had 266 games and scored 423 goals.
- 35' FK Krasnodar are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Krasnodar are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' It’s a booking for FK Krasnodar player. Sergey Volkov gets a card.
- 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ilya Gaponov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Krasnodar.
- 54' FK Krasnodar come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
- 61' Nikita Krivtsov is replacing Kevin Castano for the FK Krasnodar side.
- 64' FK Krasnodar player sees a card in front of him.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikita Saltykov on 68.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Aleksandr Ektov. He receives a card.
- 72' Time for substitution for FK Krasnodar. Kady Borges is replaced by Aleksandr Ektov.
- 73' FK Krasnodar make a change. Joao Victor trudges off to be replaced by Joao Batxi on 73 minutes.
- 76' Another change for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara made on 76 minute. Vladislav Shitov leaves to be changed by Kirill Pechenin.
- 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Olaza suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara make a change. Franco Orozco trudges off to be replaced by Benjamin Garre on 83 minutes.
- 88' Joao Victor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 39 appearances.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 95
- 20
- 1
- 4
- 5
-
8
Maksim Vityugov ↓ Sergey Babkin 76'
-
–
Franco Orozco ↓ Benjamin Garre 83'
- 22
- 73
- –
Bench
- 24
- 31
-
10
Benjamin Garre ↑ 83'
- –
- 30
-
6
Sergey Babkin ↑ 76'
- 39
- 21
-
–
Kirill Pechenin ↑ 76'
- 77
- 17
Coach
Igor Osinkin
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 4
- 3
- 15
-
–
Joao Victor ↓ Joao Batxi 73'
- 39
- 8
- 10
- 82
-
20
Kady Borges ↓ Aleksandr Ektov 72'
-
–
Kevin Castano ↓ Nikita Krivtsov 61'
Bench
- 31
- 1
-
23
Aleksandr Ektov ↑ 72'
- 14
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 61'
-
19
Joao Batxi ↑ 73'
- 90
- 33
- 16
- –
Coach
Murad Musaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ari | 3 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 3 |
| Vladislav Sarveli | 2 |
| Shapi Suleimanov | 2 |
| Ari | 2 |
| Viktor Claesson | 2 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 2 |
| Sergei Volkov | 1 |
Head to Head
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2024-04-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–0
FK Krasnodar
D
2024-04-25
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-04-20
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-04-14
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–0
FK Rubin Kazan
W
2024-04-06
FK Ural
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-03-30
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
1–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
FK Krasnodar Form
2024-04-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–0
FK Krasnodar
D
2024-04-24
FK Krasnodar
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2024-04-19
FK Krasnodar
2–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
W
2024-04-13
FK Krasnodar
1–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-04-06
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–4
FK Krasnodar
W
2024-03-31
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Krasnodar
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw
53%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
74%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or FK Krasnodar
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.7%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
| Handicap | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers | Push | FK Krasnodar covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

