FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Saturn.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Artem Chistyakov
- Assistant 1 Varantso Petrosyan (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Aleksey Shiryaev
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 29 | Points | 53 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 54 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | +15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 23% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FK Orenburg and FK Lokomotiv Moskva get this one started.
- 5' FK Lokomotiv Moskva looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Aleksey Batrakov scoring 1 goals.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Anton Mitryushkin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Gedeon Guzina, a Bosnia and Herzegovina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Lucas Vera has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dmitry Vorobyev suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' The referee calls foul for Gedeon Guzina. He receives a card.
- 43' The referee calls foul for Artem Karpukas. He receives a card.
- 48' It looks surprising FK Lokomotiv Moskva does not make any changes. Stanislav Poroykov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 53' Evgeniy Bolotov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 54' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Vera. He replaces Artem Karpukas on 54 minute.
- 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' It’s a booking for FK Lokomotiv Moskva player. Zelimkhan Bakaev gets a card.
- 61' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Alexandre Jesus on, Gedeon Guzina off on 61 minutes.
- 64' Daniil Chevardin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zelimkhan Bakaev at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' FK Lokomotiv Moskva come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 70' Brilliant from the ! Aleksey Batrakov makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 70.
- 71' Ruslan Kul is replacing Du Queiroz for the FK Orenburg side.
- 72' Dmitrii Rybchinskii is ready to make an impact after coming on for Damian Puebla at the 72 minute mark.
- 77' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 79' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Fahd Moufi departs to be replaced by Stanislav Poroykov.
- 80' Fresh legs for FK Orenburg! Renat Golybin comes on to replace Evgeniy Bolotov.
- 85' FK Lokomotiv Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
- 89' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
- 90' Bogdan Ovsyannikov is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- It finishes all square. FK Orenburg and FK Lokomotiv Moskva share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
18
Fahd Moufi ↓ Stanislav Poroykov 79'
- 1
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Alexandre Jesus 61'
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 71'
- 16
- 6
- 8
- 7
- 32
-
57
Evgeniy Bolotov ↓ Renat Golybin 80'
Bench
- 88
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 72'
- 3
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↑ 61'
- 59
- 33
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 80'
- 38
-
2
Stanislav Poroykov ↑ 79'
- 26
- 29
-
78
Ruslan Kul ↑ 71'
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 23
- 19
- 10
- 3
- 45
- 25
- 1
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Lucas Vera 54'
- 85
- 83
Bench
- 5
- 22
-
32
Lucas Vera ↑ 54'
- 59
- 94
- 14
- 88
- 90
- 16
-
74
Daniil Chevardin ↑ 64'
- 99
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Ignatjev | 5 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 4 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Gyrano Kerk | 2 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Dmitrii Barinov | 1 |
| Eder | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2026-04-18
FK Orenburg
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2026-04-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
D
2026-04-05
FK Spartak Moskva
2–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2026-03-22
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
5–1
FK Akron Tolyatti
W
2026-03-15
FK Rubin Kazan
3–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2026-03-09
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
51%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
76%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

