FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at RZD-Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Dec | FK Khimki | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 2–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FK Rostov | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | FK Khimki | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Dinamo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #7 |
| 53 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 11 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 54 | Scored | 51 |
| 39 | Conceded | 40 |
| +15 | GD | +11 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 47% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
81%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Lokomotiv Moskva is hosting FK Dinamo Moskva for another epic battle.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is showing some good football. However, FK Lokomotiv Moskva are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Dinamo Moskva's 4-3-3 shape.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Lokomotiv Moskva is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Lokomotiv Moskva must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Dinamo Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 38' What composure from Dmitry Vorobyev! The Russia international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 43' FK Dinamo Moskva fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Brilliant from the ! Arthur Gomes makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 45.
- 46' The FK Lokomotiv Moskva bench stirs into life. Edgar Sevikyan is withdrawn and Nair Tiknizyan gets his opportunity.
- 51' FK Lokomotiv Moskva ring the changes. Sergey Pinyaev has done his job and it is now time for Vladislav Sarveli to step up.
- 53' It’s gonna be a card for Jorge Carrascal.
- 58' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 63' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Lokomotiv Moskva in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Dinamo Moskva's compact 4-3-3.
- 68' FK Dinamo Moskva are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Maksim Nenakhov argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' The FK Dinamo Moskva bench stirs into life. Arthur Gomes is withdrawn and El Mehdi Maouhoub gets his opportunity.
- 76' Aleksandr Silyanov puts FK Lokomotiv Moskva on the lead.
- 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 89' Diego Laxalt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dmitrii Skopintsev on 89 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Ilya Lantratov on 90 minutes earns him a card. FK Lokomotiv Moskva will be frustrated.
- 90' The whistle greets Dmitry Vorobyev as he departs to be replaced by Timur Suleimanov.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Dinamo Moskva.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 3
- 24
- 45
- 22
-
7
Edgar Sevikyan ↓ Nair Tiknizyan 46'
- 9
- 94
- 83
- 90
Bench
-
71
Nair Tiknizyan ↑ 46'
- 23
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↑ 90'
-
8
Vladislav Sarveli ↑ 51'
- 1
- 85
- 59
- 27
- 14
- 16
- 38
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7
- 1
- 11
- 2
- 8
- 74
- 4
- 91
- 6
- 24
- 10
Bench
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 89'
- 31
-
77
Denis Makarov ↑ 89'
-
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↑ 90'
- 40
- 52
- 88
-
14
El Mehdi Maouhoub ↑ 74'
- 30
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Arsen Zakharian | 5 |
| Fedor Smolov | 4 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 3 |
| Anton Miranchuk | 3 |
| Daniil Fomin | 3 |
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 2 |
| Tin Jedvaj | 2 |
| Jan Kuchta | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2025-03-15
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2025-03-07
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2025-02-28
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2024-12-08
FK Krasnodar
0–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2024-12-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–3
FK Khimki
L
2024-11-23
FK Spartak Moskva
5–2
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
2025-03-15
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2025-03-08
FK Dinamo Moskva
4–0
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
W
2025-03-02
FK Rostov
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-12-08
FK Dinamo Moskva
4–1
FK Khimki
W
2024-12-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-11-24
FK Fakel Voronezh
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.85
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
70%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
55%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Dinamo Moskva
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Dinamo Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.