Tuesday , 21 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Millerntor-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 DüsseldorfDFB-Pokal at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 6–5 W
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
21 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
16 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–2 W
10 Dec Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
05 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Millerntor-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for FC St. Pauli 1910 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jona Niemiec, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 12' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Emmanuel Iyoha is replaced by Takashi Uchino.
  • 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Florian Kastenmeier made 302 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Joshua Quarshie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' Marcel Hartel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 37' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 37.
  • 38' Vincent Vermeij puts TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf on the lead.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf that had 302 games and scored 271 goals.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Lars Ritzka is replaced by Manolis Saliakas on 46 minute.
  • 51' FC St. Pauli 1910 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andre Hoffmann on 55.
  • 60' What an equalizer from Marcel Hartel!
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' The whistle greets Vincent Vermeij as he departs to be replaced by Christoph Daferner.
  • 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 74' Carlo Boukhalfa is replacing Aljoscha Kemlein for the FC St. Pauli 1910 side.
  • 79' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 83' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Manolis Saliakas gets a card.
  • 86' Jona Niemiec is replacing Felix Klaus for the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf side.
  • The final score is 5-6.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191041% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf36%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
64%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
59%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191032% Draw38% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf30%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–6 not predicted
5 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
14%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.