Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Porto vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 24 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
06 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–1 W
03 Oct Manchester United FC H 3–3 D
29 Sep FC Arouca H 4–0 W
25 Sep FK Bodø/Glimt A 2–3 L
21 Sep Vitória SC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct FC Porto A 0–2 L
19 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
06 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
03 Oct FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
29 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 3–4 L
25 Sep FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio Do Dragao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Porto that had 499 games and scored 715 goals.
  • 10' Anton Stach has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Porto in their trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact .
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' FC Porto currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Porto must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' The 29-year-old Pepe has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Oliver Baumann made 413 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Stanley N'Soki catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 47' Tiago Djalo puts FC Porto on the lead.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at Estadio Do Dragao. FC Porto seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 54' FC Porto player sees a card in front of him.
  • 59' FC Porto manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabio Vieira is hanging Ivan Jaime Pajuelo on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' FC Porto are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's shape.
  • 69' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Umut Tohumcu comes on to replace Florian Grillitsch.
  • 75' Samu Omorodion adds to his 2 season tally! FC Porto lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 77' FC Porto receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 79' Tim Drexler is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arthur Chaves at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' The referee shows FC Porto player a card on 84.
  • 84' A change in the FC Porto ranks — Tiago Djalo exits the field as Ze Pedro Figueiredo enters on 84.
  • 89' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Time for substitution for FC Porto. Pepe is replaced by Goncalo Borges.
  • 2-0 the final result. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto48% Draw27% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
75%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
52%
FC Porto or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Porto33% Draw47% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.