Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Porto vs Manchester United FC, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 3 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Manchester United FC — Europe at Estadio Do Dragao.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
FC Porto 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Manchester United FC H 3–3 D
29 Sep FC Arouca H 4–0 W
25 Sep FK Bodø/Glimt A 2–3 L
21 Sep Vitória SC A 3–0 W
15 Sep SC Farense H 2–1 W
31 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct FC Porto A 3–3 D
29 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–3 L
25 Sep FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
21 Sep Crystal Palace FC A 0–0 D
14 Sep Southampton FC A 3–0 W
01 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 70% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Porto45% Draw24% Manchester United FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
69%
Draw or Manchester United FC
55%
FC Porto or Manchester United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto34% Draw40% Manchester United FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.