FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm Graz, Europe 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Europa League · 2025-26

FC Midtjylland

2 – 0

Full Time

SK Sturm Graz

Wed 24 Sep 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm Graz — Europe .

FC Midtjylland 8 games · 19 pts (2025/26)
SK Sturm Graz 8 games · 7 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Orel Grinfeld

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Olympique Lyonnais	8	21
2	Aston Villa FC	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis Balompié	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	KRC Genk	8	16
10	Bologna FC 1909	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvárosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest FC	8	14
14	FC Viktoria Plzeň	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	RC Celta de Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK Thessaloniki FC	8	12
18	Lille OSC	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe SK	8	12
20	Panathinaikos AO	8	12
21	Celtic FC	8	11
22	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	8	10
23	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	SK Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	SK Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB Bukarest	8	7
28	Go Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord Rotterdam	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	FC Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers FC	8	4
33	OGC Nice	8	3
34	FC Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC	8	1

Head-to-Head

FC Midtjylland 5 games · Avg 2.8 goals SK Sturm Graz

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz 2022-11-03 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz 2022-09-08 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 FC Midtjylland 2018-02-03 FC Midtjylland 0–2 SK Sturm Graz 2017-09-26 SK Sturm Graz 5–2 FC Midtjylland

Recent Form

FC Midtjylland

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	SK Sturm Graz	H	2–0	W
20 Feb	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	A	2–5	L
13 Feb	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Fenerbahçe SK	H	2–2	D
23 Jan	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	A	2–0	W
12 Dec	FC Porto	A	0–2	L

SK Sturm Graz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	FC Midtjylland	A	0–2	L
26 Aug	FK Bodo/Glimt	H	2–1	W
20 Aug	FK Bodo/Glimt	A	0–5	L
29 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	1–0	W
21 Jan	Atalanta BC	A	0–5	L
11 Dec	Lille OSC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

FC Midtjylland		SK Sturm Graz
#3	Position	#26
19	Points	7
8	Played	8
6 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 5
18	Scored	5
8	Conceded	11
+10	GD	-6
2.38	PPG	0.88
75%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Midtjylland this season

25% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

FC Midtjylland are 3rd (19 pts). SK Sturm Graz are 26th (7 pts).

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Midtjylland

Martin Erlic	4 G	1 A
Franculino Dju	3 G

SK Sturm Graz

Otar Kiteishvili

3 G

Events

Match Events

0' FC Midtjylland have kicked off against SK Sturm Graz. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Full Time. FC Midtjylland beats SK Sturm Graz

Lineups

FC Midtjylland Lineups

SK Sturm Graz Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Anders Dreyer	2
Emanuel Emegha	1

Head to Head

FC Midtjylland Form

2025-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz W 2025-02-20 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5–2 FC Midtjylland L 2025-02-13 FC Midtjylland 1–2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol L 2025-01-30 FC Midtjylland 2–2 Fenerbahçe SK D 2025-01-23 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 0–2 FC Midtjylland W 2024-12-12 FC Porto 2–0 FC Midtjylland L

SK Sturm Graz Form

2025-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz L 2025-08-26 SK Sturm Graz 2–1 FK Bodo/Glimt W 2025-08-20 FK Bodo/Glimt 5–0 SK Sturm Graz L 2025-01-29 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 RB Leipzig W 2025-01-21 Atalanta BC 5–0 SK Sturm Graz L 2024-12-11 Lille OSC 3–2 SK Sturm Graz L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.41 FC Midtjylland xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 SK Sturm Graz xG

I would bet for: FC Midtjylland to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Midtjylland66% Draw20% SK Sturm Graz14%

Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 3.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw

86%

Draw or SK Sturm Graz

34%

FC Midtjylland or SK Sturm Graz

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Midtjylland52% Draw38% SK Sturm Graz10%

Actual: FC Midtjylland win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

9.6%

3 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

1 – 1

8.4%

3 – 1

7.2%

4 – 0

5.5%

0 – 0

5.5%

4 – 1

4.4%

2 – 2

3.5%

1 – 2

2.9%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap	FC Midtjylland covers	Push	SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5	29%	—	71%
-2	29%	21%	50%
-1.5	50%	—	50%
-1	50%	22%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.