FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm Graz, Europe 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Europa League · 2025-26

FC Midtjylland

2 – 0

Full Time

SK Sturm Graz

Wed 24 Sep 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm Graz — Europe .

FC Midtjylland 8 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
SK Sturm Graz 8 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Orel Grinfeld

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Olympique Lyonnais	8	21
2	Aston Villa FC	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis Balompie	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	KRC Genk	8	16
10	Bologna FC 1909	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvarosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest FC	8	14
14	FC Viktoria Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	RC Celta de Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK Thessaloniki FC	8	12
18	Lille OSC	8	12
19	Fenerbahce SK	8	12
20	Panathinaikos AO	8	12
21	Celtic FC	8	11
22	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	8	10
23	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	SK Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	SK Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB Bukarest	8	7
28	Go Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord Rotterdam	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	FC Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers FC	8	4
33	OGC Nice	8	3
34	FC Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC	8	1

Head-to-Head

FC Midtjylland 5 games · Avg 2.8 goals SK Sturm Graz

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz 2022-11-03 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz 2022-09-08 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 FC Midtjylland 2018-02-03 FC Midtjylland 0–2 SK Sturm Graz 2017-09-26 SK Sturm Graz 5–2 FC Midtjylland

Recent Form

FC Midtjylland

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	SK Sturm Graz	H	2–0	W
20 Feb	Real Sociedad de Futbol	A	2–5	L
13 Feb	Real Sociedad de Futbol	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Fenerbahce SK	H	2–2	D
23 Jan	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	A	2–0	W
12 Dec	FC Porto	A	0–2	L

SK Sturm Graz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	FC Midtjylland	A	0–2	L
26 Aug	FK Bodo/Glimt	H	2–1	W
20 Aug	FK Bodo/Glimt	A	0–5	L
29 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	1–0	W
21 Jan	Atalanta BC	A	0–5	L
11 Dec	Lille OSC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

FC Midtjylland		SK Sturm Graz
#3	Position	#26
19	Points	7
8	Played	8
6 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 5
18	Scored	5
8	Conceded	11
+10	GD	-6
2.38	PPG	0.88
75%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

FC Midtjylland are 3rd (19 pts). SK Sturm Graz are 26th (7 pts).

Top Scorers (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz

Paul Koller

1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . FC Midtjylland are looking to make home advantage count against SK Sturm Graz.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Midtjylland take all three points.

Lineups

FC Midtjylland Lineups

SK Sturm Graz Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Anders Dreyer	2
Emanuel Emegha	1

Head to Head

FC Midtjylland Form

2025-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz W 2025-02-20 Real Sociedad de Futbol 5–2 FC Midtjylland L 2025-02-13 FC Midtjylland 1–2 Real Sociedad de Futbol L 2025-01-30 FC Midtjylland 2–2 Fenerbahce SK D 2025-01-23 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 0–2 FC Midtjylland W 2024-12-12 FC Porto 2–0 FC Midtjylland L

SK Sturm Graz Form

2025-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–0 SK Sturm Graz L 2025-08-26 SK Sturm Graz 2–1 FK Bodo/Glimt W 2025-08-20 FK Bodo/Glimt 5–0 SK Sturm Graz L 2025-01-29 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 RB Leipzig W 2025-01-21 Atalanta BC 5–0 SK Sturm Graz L 2024-12-11 Lille OSC 3–2 SK Sturm Graz L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.41 FC Midtjylland xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 SK Sturm Graz xG

I would bet for: FC Midtjylland to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Midtjylland66% Draw20% SK Sturm Graz14%

Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 3.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw

86%

Draw or SK Sturm Graz

34%

FC Midtjylland or SK Sturm Graz

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Midtjylland52% Draw38% SK Sturm Graz10%

Actual: FC Midtjylland win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

9.6%

3 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

1 – 1

8.4%

3 – 1

7.2%

4 – 0

5.5%

0 – 0

5.5%

4 – 1

4.4%

2 – 2

3.5%

1 – 2

2.9%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap	FC Midtjylland covers	Push	SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5	29%	—	71%
-2	29%	21%	50%
-1.5	50%	—	50%
-1	50%	22%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.