FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 42 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +9 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Machida GION Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ibrahim Dresevic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Go Kuroda will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Ratao on 20 minutes.
- 22' Against the run of play, Sang-ho Na has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kyohei Yoshino suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Machida Zelvia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' Brilliant from the defender! Kotaro Hayashi makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 43.
- 46' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Motohiko Nakajima is replaced by Shinji Kagawa.
- 51' Hayato Okuda has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' Shinji Kagawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 63' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Shota Fujio departs to be replaced by Se-hun Oh.
- 64' Ayumu Ohata is replacing Dion Cools for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 66' Shunta Tanaka is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 71' Thiago Andrade has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 297 appearances.
- 76' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuki Soma on 77.
- 78' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Se-hun Oh makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 82' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Kotaro Hayashi departs to be replaced by Neta Lavi.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Fernandes.
- 87' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Lucas Fernandes is replaced by Reiya Sakata on 87 minute.
- With this win, FC Machida Zelvia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takaya Numata 82'
- 5
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 63'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 87'
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Keiya Sento 64'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Neta Lavi 82'
- 6
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 87'
- 11
- 23
- 13
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 82'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 64'
- 15
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 63'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 82'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Dion Cools ↓ Ayumu Ohata 64'
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Reiya Sakata 87'
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 46'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 64'
- 31
- 16
- 1
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 46'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 46'
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 64'
- 33
- 55
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 87'
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 64'
- 48
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.51
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
81%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
39%
FC Machida Zelvia or Cerezo Osaka FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

