FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 42 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +9 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Machida Zelvia to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 22' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sang-ho Na on 22.
- 27' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hayato Okuda made 369 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 43' GOAL! Kotaro Hayashi scores on 43. Assisted by Gen Shoji
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Shinji Kagawa. He replaces Motohiko Nakajima on 46 minute.
- 51' Daihachi Okamura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 63' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 63 minute. Shota Fujio leaves to be changed by Se-hun Oh.
- 64' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayumu Ohata is hanging Dion Cools on the field on 64 minute.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunta Tanaka.
- 71' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 77' Yuki Soma was booked on 77.
- 78' GOAL! Se-hun Oh scores on 78.
- 82' Neta Lavi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kotaro Hayashi on 82 minute.
- 86' Lucas Fernandes is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
- 87' Reiya Sakata has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Fernandes on 87 minute.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takaya Numata 82'
- 5
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 63'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 87'
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Keiya Sento 64'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Neta Lavi 82'
- 6
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 87'
- 11
- 23
- 13
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 82'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 64'
- 15
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 63'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 82'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Dion Cools ↓ Ayumu Ohata 64'
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Reiya Sakata 87'
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 46'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 64'
- 31
- 16
- 1
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 46'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 46'
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 64'
- 33
- 55
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 87'
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 64'
- 48
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.51
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
81%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
39%
FC Machida Zelvia or Cerezo Osaka FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.