FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 42 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +9 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Machida Zelvia to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Yuta Nakayama has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Rafael Ratao was booked on 20.
- 22' Sang-ho Na has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 22 minutes.
- 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kyohei Yoshino, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' Kotaro Hayashi adds to his 0 season tally! FC Machida Zelvia lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 46' Shinji Kagawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Motohiko Nakajima at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Lucas Fernandes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' A change in the FC Machida Zelvia ranks — Shota Fujio exits the field as Se-hun Oh enters on 63.
- 64' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Dion Cools trudges off to be replaced by Ayumu Ohata on 64 minutes.
- 66' It’s gonna be a card for Shunta Tanaka.
- 71' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Machida Zelvia in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 77' It’s a booking for FC Machida Zelvia player. Yuki Soma gets a card.
- 78' Against the run of play, Se-hun Oh has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 82' Neta Lavi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kotaro Hayashi at the 82 minute mark.
- 86' The referee shows Cerezo Osaka FC player a card on 86.
- 87' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Lucas Fernandes exits the field as Reiya Sakata enters on 87.
- Cerezo Osaka FC will have plenty to reflect on. FC Machida Zelvia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takaya Numata 82'
- 5
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 63'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 87'
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Keiya Sento 64'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Neta Lavi 82'
- 6
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 87'
- 11
- 23
- 13
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 82'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 64'
- 15
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 63'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 82'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Dion Cools ↓ Ayumu Ohata 64'
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Reiya Sakata 87'
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 46'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 64'
- 31
- 16
- 1
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 46'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 46'
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 64'
- 33
- 55
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 87'
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 64'
- 48
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.51
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
81%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
39%
FC Machida Zelvia or Cerezo Osaka FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.