FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 42 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +9 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Machida Zelvia to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Japan international Kosei Tani has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Machida GION Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Poor challenge from Rafael Ratao. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 22' GOAL! Sang-ho Na fires home to make it 1-0!
- 27' FC Machida Zelvia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 32' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Machida Zelvia in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Kotaro Hayashi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the defender.
- 46' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Motohiko Nakajima has done his job and it is now time for Shinji Kagawa to step up.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafael Ratao made 20 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 63 minute. Shota Fujio leaves to be changed by Se-hun Oh.
- 64' Ayumu Ohata gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Dion Cools and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
- 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shion Homma suffering a number of foals already.
- 76' Ayumu Ohata, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yuki Soma.
- 78' Brilliant from the forward! Se-hun Oh makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 78.
- 82' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Kotaro Hayashi departs to be replaced by Neta Lavi.
- 86' Poor challenge from Lucas Fernandes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Reiya Sakata on, Lucas Fernandes off on 87 minutes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Machida Zelvia 3-0 Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takaya Numata 82'
- 5
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 63'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 87'
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Keiya Sento 64'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Neta Lavi 82'
- 6
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 87'
- 11
- 23
- 13
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 82'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 64'
- 15
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 63'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 82'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Dion Cools ↓ Ayumu Ohata 64'
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Reiya Sakata 87'
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 46'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 64'
- 31
- 16
- 1
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 46'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 46'
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 64'
- 33
- 55
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 87'
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 64'
- 48
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.51
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
81%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
39%
FC Machida Zelvia or Cerezo Osaka FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

