Tōkyō Verdy vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tōkyō Verdy vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tōkyō Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–3 | L |
| 31 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Tōkyō Verdy | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #13 |
| 28 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 42 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -3 | GD | +9 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season
Tōkyō Verdy this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Tōkyō Verdy are 15th (28 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Tōkyō Verdy and FC Machida Zelvia.
- 5' Japan international Yuta Arai has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Tōkyō Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tōkyō Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Tōkyō Verdy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
- 20' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Tōkyō Verdy in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Koki Morita, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 40' Yuan Matsuhashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' Tōkyō Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tōkyō Verdy and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' Ryuho Kikuchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 451 appearances.
- 60' The whistle greets Takuma Nishimura as he departs to be replaced by Sang-ho Na.
- 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ryuho Kikuchi makes it 0-1.
- 68' Tōkyō Verdy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
- 69' Ryosuke Shirai gets the nod from Tokyo Verdy. He replaces Itsuki Someno and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Hiroki Mochizuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 76' Yuta Nakayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroki Mochizuki at the 76 minute mark.
- 79' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Soma Meshino is hanging Rei Hirakawa on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' Kotaro Hayashi is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tōkyō Verdy tonight.
- 89' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
- 90' The whistle greets Yuta Arai as he departs to be replaced by Issei Kumatoriya.
- Tōkyō Verdy will have plenty to reflect on. FC Machida Zelvia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Tōkyō Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 22
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 19
- 3
- 23
- 40
Bench
- 14
- 37
- 21
- 2
- 4
- 20
- 17
- 27
- 25
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Keiya Sento 90'
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Sang-ho Na 60'
- 1
- 3
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takaya Numata 90'
- 4
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 76'
- 16
- 50
- 26
- 6
Bench
- –
- 23
-
19
Yuta Nakayama ↑ 76'
- 5
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 90'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 60'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 76'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 90'
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shota Fujio | 3 |
| Kazuya Miyahara | 1 |
| Erik | 1 |
| Kai Shibato | 1 |
| Kosuke Saito | 1 |
| Ryuho Kikuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Tōkyō Verdy Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-07-20
Tōkyō Verdy
0–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-07-05
FC Machida Zelvia
3–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2025-06-29
Albirex Niigata
0–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-06-21
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-06-14
Shonan Bellmare
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-05-31
FC Machida Zelvia
0–3
Yokohama F.Marinos
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.92
Tōkyō Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Tōkyō Verdy or Draw
47%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Tōkyō Verdy or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 3
6.1%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Tōkyō Verdy
| Handicap | Tōkyō Verdy covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.