Cerezo Osaka FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 48 | Scored | 42 |
| 38 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 61% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Cerezo Osaka FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
- 10' Hiroyuki Mae has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 207 appearances.
- 15' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroyuki Mae on 19.
- 24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mitchell Duke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shota Fujio on 26.
- 31' Ryuya Nishio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
- 36' Gen Shoji is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Kotaro Hayashi gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Hiroki Mochizuki and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Se-hun Oh makes it 0-1.
- 52' Shinji Kagawa is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 54' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Reiya Sakata is withdrawn and Lucas Fernandes gets his opportunity.
- 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyohei Noborizato made 446 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 66 minute. Motohiko Nakajima leaves to be changed by Satoki Uejo.
- 71' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Ryosuke Shindo has done his job and it is now time for Kengo Furuyama to step up.
- 72' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Hokuto Shimoda departs to be replaced by Ryohei Shirasaki.
- 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' Assisted by Yuki Soma with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ibrahim Dresevic makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
- 86' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Yuki Soma is replaced by Keiya Sento.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ibrahim Dresevic. He receives a card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 6
-
3
Ryosuke Shindo ↓ Kengo Furuyama 71'
- 44
- 9
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↓ Satoki Uejo 66'
- 33
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Lucas Fernandes 54'
- 38
- 48
- 1
Bench
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↑ 54'
- 14
- 5
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↑ 66'
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 66'
- 21
-
29
Kengo Furuyama ↑ 71'
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 54'
Coach
Arthur Papas
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Keiya Sento 86'
- 5
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Sang-ho Na 46'
- 16
- 50
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
- 6
Bench
- 99
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 72'
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 86'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 46'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 46'
- 49
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 39
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-04-25
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2025-04-20
Vissel Kobe
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-04-13
FC Machida Zelvia
0–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2025-04-06
FC Machida Zelvia
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-04-02
Gamba Osaka
0–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Cerezo Osaka FC or FC Machida Zelvia 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
63%
Cerezo Osaka FC or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.