Monday , 12 October 2026

FC Lugano vs Fenerbahce SK, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2

Tue 23 Jul 2024 · 18:30 UTC Stockhorn Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lugano vs Fenerbahce SK — Champions League Q at Stockhorn Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tiago Martins

Head-to-Head

2
FC Lugano 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Fenerbahce SK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Fenerbahce SK H 3–4 L
31 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
24 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–2 L
12 Dec FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–1 D
28 Nov FC København H 0–1 L
07 Nov Malmo FF H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul FC Lugano A 4–3 W
16 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
09 Mar Sevilla FC A 0–2 L
03 Nov FK Dynamo Kyiv A 2–0 W
27 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–3 D
13 Oct AEK Larnaka A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fenerbahce SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fenerbahce SK
Talisca 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC Lugano vs Fenerbahçe SK — let the football do the talking.
  • 4' Assisted by Anto Grgic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ayman El Wafi makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 9' The travelling Fenerbahçe SK supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Lugano and Fenerbahçe SK are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 18' Caglar Soyuncu was booked on 18.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mattia Zanotti, as he is very good at scoring at Stockhorn Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fenerbahçe SK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' FC Lugano receives a card for a hard tackle on 29.
  • 34' FC Lugano have won 6 goals from 10 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' Fenerbahce SK player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Edin Dzeko does the damage! The net is bulging and Fenerbahce SK surge ahead!
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' Fenerbahçe SK are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 59' Antonios Papadopoulos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' Time for substitution for FC Lugano. Yanis Cimignani is replaced by Lars-Lukas Mai.
  • 64' Uran Bislimi adds to his 0 season tally! FC Lugano lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 67' GOAL! Edin Dzeko scores on 67. Assisted by Sebastian Szymanski
  • 68' Ferdi Kadioglu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dusan Tadic on 68 minute.
  • 69' Mattia Bottani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
  • 70' Fenerbahce SK receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 71' Anto Grgic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 71' FC Lugano manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kacper Przybylko is hanging Ignacio Aliseda on the field on 71 minute.
  • 74' The deadlock is broken! Ferdi Kadioglu gets on the scoresheet on 74 minutes.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Mattia Zanotti argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Another change for FC Lugano made on 79 minute. Anto Grgic leaves to be changed by Hadj Mahmoud.
  • 80' Another change for Fenerbahce SK made on 80 minute. Edin Dzeko leaves to be changed by Cenk Tosun.
  • 85' Sebastian Szymanski has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 117 appearances.
  • 86' Mert Hakan Yandas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fred at the 86 minute mark.
  • The points are shared — FC Lugano 3-4 Fenerbahçe SK. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 FC Lugano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for: FC Lugano or Fenerbahce SK 76% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lugano32% Draw24% Fenerbahce SK44%
Actual: Fenerbahce SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FC Lugano or Draw
56%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
68%
FC Lugano or Fenerbahce SK
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lugano27% Draw40% Fenerbahce SK33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Lugano

Handicap FC Lugano covers Push Fenerbahce SK covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 19% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.