Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
4 – 0
Full Time
Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
13 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct FC Metz H 4–0 W
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
27 Sep FC Nantes H 2–2 D
21 Sep AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
30 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Toulouse FC A 0–4 L
04 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–3 L
28 Sep Le Havre AC H 0–0 D
21 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–5 L
14 Sep Angers SCO H 1–1 D
31 Aug Paris FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toulouse FC to score. At the same time, FC Metz does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final score is 4-0.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Toulouse FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC63% Draw21% FC Metz16%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
83%
Draw or FC Metz
37%
Toulouse FC or FC Metz
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC46% Draw39% FC Metz15%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.