Toulouse FC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

4 – 0

Full Time

FC Metz

Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Metz 34 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Francois Letexier

20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 5 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Metz

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-19 Toulouse FC 4–0 FC Metz 2024-01-14 FC Metz 0–1 Toulouse FC 2023-10-01 Toulouse FC 3–0 FC Metz 2019-09-28 FC Metz 2–2 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	FC Metz	H	4–0	W
05 Oct	Olympique Lyonnais	A	2–1	W
27 Sep	FC Nantes	H	2–2	D
21 Sep	AJ Auxerre	A	0–1	L
14 Sep	Lille OSC	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	3–6	L

FC Metz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Toulouse FC	A	0–4	L
04 Oct	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–3	L
28 Sep	Le Havre AC	H	0–0	D
21 Sep	AS Monaco FC	A	2–5	L
14 Sep	Angers SCO	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Paris FC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		FC Metz
#11	Position	#2
0	Points	17
0	Played	34
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 23
0	Scored	32
0	Conceded	76
+0	GD	-44
–	PPG	0.50
–	Win %	9%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). FC Metz are 2nd (17 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Toulouse FC and FC Metz.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Vincent Sierro	1
Wesley Said	1
Efthymios Koulouris	1
Habib Diallo	1
Ibrahima Niane	1
Niklas Schmidt	1
Thijs Dallinga	1
Frank Magri	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.65 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.58 FC Metz xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Toulouse FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC62% Draw25% FC Metz13%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes36% 0% No64%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

87%

Draw or FC Metz

38%

Toulouse FC or FC Metz

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC42% Draw49% FC Metz9%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

16.9%

2 – 0

14.2%

0 – 0

12.8%

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

8.3%

3 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

5.2%

3 – 1

4.7%

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

2.8%

2 – 2

2.5%

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	FC Metz covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	20%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	27%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	9%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

56% ✓

FC Metz keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.