Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
4 – 0
Full Time
Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct FC Metz H 4–0 W
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
27 Sep FC Nantes H 2–2 D
21 Sep AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
30 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Toulouse FC A 0–4 L
04 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–3 L
28 Sep Le Havre AC H 0–0 D
21 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–5 L
14 Sep Angers SCO H 1–1 D
31 Aug Paris FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Toulouse FC and FC Metz.
  • The final score is 4-0.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Toulouse FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC63% Draw21% FC Metz16%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
83%
Draw or FC Metz
37%
Toulouse FC or FC Metz
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC46% Draw39% FC Metz15%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.