FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.
- FC Lorient 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Aurelien Berthomieu
- Referee Bastien Dechepy
- Referee Cedric Favre
- Referee Marc Bollengier
- Referee
- Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | Toulouse FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | AS Monaco FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Apr | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Lille OSC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Mar | OGC Nice | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Mar | ES Troyes AC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | Montpellier HSC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Lille OSC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Angers SCO | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Lorient | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 4 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 9 | Scored | 15 |
| 8 | Conceded | 14 |
| +1 | GD | +1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 40% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season
FC Lorient this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
FC Lorient are 10th (15 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Lorient
| Jean-Victor Makengo | 2 G | 1 A |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Lorient is hosting Toulouse FC for another epic battle.
- 5' It’s high time Philippe Montanier made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Lorient is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' FC Lorient are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toulouse FC backline.
- 30' FC Lorient currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' FC Lorient seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 51' Vincent Sierro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
- 56' Toulouse FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 61' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 64' Ado Onaiwu makes way for Rafael Ratao at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Yoann Cathline. He replaces Igor Carioca on 66 minute.
- 68' What a strike from Zakaria Aboukhlal! The score is 0-1.
- 70' Laurent Abergel picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 75' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' FC Lorient player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Moussa Diarra. He replaces Zakaria Aboukhlal on 79 minute.
- 80' The FC Lorient manager makes a substitution. Julien Ponceau departs to be replaced by Bonke Innocent.
- 82' Gedeon Kalulu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 83' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Denis Genreau by Waren Kamanzi on 83 minute.
- 88' Waren Kamanzi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Stijn Spierings.
- Toulouse FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Lorient Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 19
- 25
-
21
Julien Ponceau ↓ Bonke Innocent 80'
- 38
-
2
Igor Carioca ↓ Yoann Cathline 66'
-
80
Enzo Le Fee ↓ Sirine Doucoure 80'
- 9
- 12
- 18
- 3
Bench
- 1
-
24
Gedeon Kalulu ↑ 66'
-
8
Bonke Innocent ↑ 80'
- 7
-
22
Yoann Cathline ↑ 66'
-
11
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng ↑ 66'
- 44
- 34
-
29
Sirine Doucoure ↑ 80'
Coach
Regis Le Bris
Toulouse FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Denis Genreau ↓ Waren Kamanzi 83'
- 30
-
13
Vincent Sierro ↓ Chaibi Fares 64'
- 27
- 2
-
7
Ado Onaiwu ↓ Rafael Ratao 64'
- 6
- 17
- 3
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 64'
-
23
Moussa Diarra ↑ 79'
- 19
- 14
-
26
Waren Kamanzi ↑ 83'
- 16
-
28
Chaibi Fares ↑ 64'
- 24
- 29
Coach
Philippe Montanier
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thijs Dallinga | 3 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 1 |
| Noah Mbamba | 1 |
| Ibrahima Balde | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Armand Lauriente | 1 |
| Ibrahima Kone | 1 |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | 1 |
FC Lorient Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Toulouse FC or Draw 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
FC Lorient or Draw
65%
Draw or Toulouse FC
69%
FC Lorient or Toulouse FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Lorient
| Handicap | FC Lorient covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

