FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sun 10 Oct 2021 · 00:00 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Edgar Castillo 68' Y

Y 80' Matt Freese

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union 2020-10-07 Philadelphia Union 3–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-23 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Philadelphia Union 2019-05-01 Philadelphia Union 2–0 FC Cincinnati 2019-03-30 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
02 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
29 Sep	Toronto FC	A	2–3	L
25 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	2–4	L
18 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
15 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	0–4	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
03 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–0	W
29 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	1–1	D
25 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	1–0	W
19 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	3–1	W
03 Sep	New England Revolution	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Philadelphia Union
#6	Position	#13
26	Points	16
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	4 / 4 / 10
45	Scored	25
44	Conceded	33
+1	GD	-8
1.44	PPG	0.89
39%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against Philadelphia Union.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tyrone Marshall might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Sergio Santos by Quinn Sullivan on 15 minute.
20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
30' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
31' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Yuya Kubo is replaced by Isaac Atanga on 31 minute.
36' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
41' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
46' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kamohelo Mokotjo is hanging Caleb Stanko on the field on 46 minute.
48' What composure from Kacper Przybylko! The Poland international strokes it home. 0-1.
53' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
56' What composure from Paxten Aaronson! The USA international strokes it home. 0-2.
61' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Matthew Real has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
65' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 65 minute. Alvaro Barreal leaves to be changed by Brandon Vazquez.
66' The crowd applauds Jack McGlynn as he leaves the pitch. Matthew Real steps in for Philadelphia Union.
68' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
73' Chris Duvall is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zico Bailey at the 73 minute mark.
78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
80' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Matt Freese on 80 minutes.
82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Haris Medunjanin makes it 1-2.
84' The whistle greets Alejandro Bedoya as he departs to be replaced by Jesus Bueno.
89' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 1-2 Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

3
Tyler Blackett
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 46'
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Isaac Atanga 31'
6
Haris Medunjanin
2
Edgar Castillo
11
Luciano Acosta
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Brandon Vazquez 65'
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Chris Duvall 73'
22
Przemyslaw Tyton
9
Brenner da Silva
5
Gustavo Vallecilla ↓ Geoff Cameron 31'

Bench

Coach Tyrone Marshall

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Bruno Damiani	2
Brenner da Silva	1
Evander	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-25 D.C. United SC 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC L 2021-09-15 Atlanta United FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati L

Philadelphia Union Form

2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union W 2021-10-03 Philadelphia Union 3–0 Columbus Crew SC W 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2021-09-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Atlanta United FC W 2021-09-19 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Orlando City SC W 2021-09-03 Philadelphia Union 0–1 New England Revolution L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati35% Draw23% Philadelphia Union42%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

58%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

65%

FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati31% Draw39% Philadelphia Union30%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

1 – 0

3.7%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.