Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Guido Gonzalez
- Referee Jon Freemon
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #6 |
| 16 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 4 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 25 | Scored | 45 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 22% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 8 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Philadelphia Union to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jaap Stam might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Greg Garza made 287 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' Greg Garza makes way for Zico Bailey at the 30 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 35' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alejandro Bedoya.
- 45' Jamiro is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 46' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Jakob Glesnes has done his job and it is now time for Jack Elliott to step up.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' Philadelphia Union make a change. Anthony Fontana trudges off to be replaced by Ilsinho on 53 minutes.
- 58' Poland international Kacper Przybylko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' Ilsinho adds to his 0 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 62' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 62 minute. Allan Cruz leaves to be changed by Kamohelo Mokotjo.
- 66' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mark McKenzie on 66 minutes.
- 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 73' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alejandro Bedoya makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 73' The whistle greets Sergio Santos as he departs to be replaced by Warren Creavalle.
- 76' Brandon Vazquez gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Jurgen Locadia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' A goal from the England international Jack Elliott! He fires home on 80 to make it 3-0!
- 85' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Alejandro Bedoya exits the field as Andrew Wooten enters on 85.
- 90' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a Yellow card on 90.
- With this win, Philadelphia Union is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
27
Kai Wagner ↓ Matt Real 85'
- 18
- 11
-
21
Anthony Fontana ↓ Ilsinho 53'
- 4
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 23
-
5
Jakob Glesnes ↓ Jack Elliott 46'
Bench
-
7
Andrew Wooten ↑ 85'
- 78
-
2
Warren Creavalle ↑ 73'
-
3
Jack Elliott ↑ 46'
-
25
Ilsinho ↑ 53'
- 24
- 12
-
32
Matt Real ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Zico Bailey 30'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Alvaro Barreal 62'
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
- 33
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 76'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 62'
- 12
- 18
- 1
-
16
Zico Bailey ↑ 30'
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 1 |
| Leon Flach | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2020-10-07
Philadelphia Union
3–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-10-03
Toronto FC
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2020-09-27
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2020-09-23
FC Cincinnati
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2020-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
1–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2020-09-12
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.39
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
41%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%
4 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.