Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Guido Gonzalez
- Referee Jon Freemon
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #7 |
| 7 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 36 |
| 30 | Conceded | 37 |
| -12 | GD | -1 |
| 0.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 7% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at Subaru Park.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Greg Garza made 283 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Curtin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kacper Przybylko, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
- 25' Mark McKenzie has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' Greg Garza makes way for Zico Bailey at the 30 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' Philadelphia Union receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 45' Philadelphia Union seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Jack Elliott comes on to replace Jakob Glesnes.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 53' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 53 minute. Anthony Fontana leaves to be changed by Ilsinho.
- 58' Olivier Mbaizo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 59' The deadlock is broken! Ilsinho gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 62' Kamohelo Mokotjo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Allan Cruz at the 62 minute mark.
- 66' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a Yellow card on 66.
- 71' Over 71 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' A stunning finish from Alejandro Bedoya — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Warren Creavalle on, Sergio Santos off on 73 minutes.
- 76' The crowd applauds Jurgen Locadia as he leaves the pitch. Brandon Vazquez steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 80' A goal from the England international Jack Elliott! He fires home on 80 to make it 3-0!
- 85' Andrew Wooten is replacing Alejandro Bedoya for the Philadelphia Union side.
- 90' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Olivier Mbaissidara gets a Yellow card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
27
Kai Wagner ↓ Matt Real 85'
- 18
- 11
-
21
Anthony Fontana ↓ Ilsinho 53'
- 4
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 23
-
5
Jakob Glesnes ↓ Jack Elliott 46'
Bench
-
7
Andrew Wooten ↑ 85'
- 78
-
2
Warren Creavalle ↑ 73'
-
3
Jack Elliott ↑ 46'
-
25
Ilsinho ↑ 53'
- 24
- 12
-
32
Matt Real ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Zico Bailey 30'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Alvaro Barreal 62'
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
- 33
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 76'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 62'
- 12
- 18
- 1
-
16
Zico Bailey ↑ 30'
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Jesus Bueno | 1 |
| Aaron Boupendza | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2020-10-07
Philadelphia Union
3–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-10-03
Toronto FC
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2020-09-27
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2020-09-23
FC Cincinnati
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2020-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
1–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2020-09-12
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
78%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
44%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.