Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Guido Gonzalez
- Referee Jon Freemon
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 50 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 66 | Scored | 67 |
| 52 | Conceded | 75 |
| +14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Subaru Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Greg Garza is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Philadelphia Union tonight.
- 10' Haris Medunjanin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Jamiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Zico Bailey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Greg Garza at the 30 minute mark.
- 35' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' Poor challenge from Alejandro Bedoya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 45' Jakob Glesnes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Jack Elliott. He replaces Jakob Glesnes on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Anthony Fontana is replaced by Ilsinho.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 59' GOAL! Ilsinho scores on 59.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Kamohelo Mokotjo. He replaces Allan Cruz on 62 minute.
- 66' The referee calls foul for Mark McKenzie. He receives a Yellow card.
- 71' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alejandro Bedoya makes it 2-0.
- 73' The whistle greets Sergio Santos as he departs to be replaced by Warren Creavalle.
- 76' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Jurgen Locadia exits the field as Brandon Vazquez enters on 76.
- 80' Brilliant from the ! Jack Elliott makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 80.
- 85' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 85 minute. Alejandro Bedoya leaves to be changed by Andrew Wooten.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Olivier Mbaissidara.
- Another three points for Philadelphia Union.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
27
Kai Wagner ↓ Matt Real 85'
- 18
- 11
-
21
Anthony Fontana ↓ Ilsinho 53'
- 4
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 23
-
5
Jakob Glesnes ↓ Jack Elliott 46'
Bench
-
7
Andrew Wooten ↑ 85'
- 78
-
2
Warren Creavalle ↑ 73'
-
3
Jack Elliott ↑ 46'
-
25
Ilsinho ↑ 53'
- 24
- 12
-
32
Matt Real ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Zico Bailey 30'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Alvaro Barreal 62'
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
- 33
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 76'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 62'
- 12
- 18
- 1
-
16
Zico Bailey ↑ 30'
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2020-10-07
Philadelphia Union
3–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-10-03
Toronto FC
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2020-09-27
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2020-09-23
FC Cincinnati
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2020-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
1–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2020-09-12
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.7
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Philadelphia Union to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
88%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
30%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.