Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Guido Gonzalez
- Referee Jon Freemon
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 39 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 54 | Scored | 55 |
| 44 | Conceded | 64 |
| +10 | GD | -9 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 41% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at Subaru Park.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Haris Medunjanin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 293 appearances.
- 15' Frankie Amaya has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' FC Cincinnati have won 363 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' The whistle greets Greg Garza as he departs to be replaced by Zico Bailey.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' Alejandro Bedoya has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Philadelphia Union make a change. Jakob Glesnes trudges off to be replaced by Jack Elliott on 46 minutes.
- 51' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 53' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Anthony Fontana departs to be replaced by Ilsinho.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 59' Against the run of play, Ilsinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Allan Cruz departs to be replaced by Kamohelo Mokotjo.
- 66' Mark McKenzie is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 73' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alejandro Bedoya makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 73' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Warren Creavalle comes on to replace Sergio Santos.
- 76' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brandon Vazquez is hanging Jurgen Locadia on the field on 76 minute.
- 80' The deadlock is broken! Jack Elliott gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
- 85' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Alejandro Bedoya by Andrew Wooten on 85 minute.
- 90' Olivier Mbaissidara catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- 3-0 the final result. FC Cincinnati will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
27
Kai Wagner ↓ Matt Real 85'
- 18
- 11
-
21
Anthony Fontana ↓ Ilsinho 53'
- 4
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 23
-
5
Jakob Glesnes ↓ Jack Elliott 46'
Bench
-
7
Andrew Wooten ↑ 85'
- 78
-
2
Warren Creavalle ↑ 73'
-
3
Jack Elliott ↑ 46'
-
25
Ilsinho ↑ 53'
- 24
- 12
-
32
Matt Real ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Zico Bailey 30'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Alvaro Barreal 62'
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
- 33
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 76'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 62'
- 12
- 18
- 1
-
16
Zico Bailey ↑ 30'
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Olivier Mbaizo | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2020-10-07
Philadelphia Union
3–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-10-03
Toronto FC
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2020-09-27
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2020-09-23
FC Cincinnati
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2020-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
1–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2020-09-12
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.94
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Philadelphia Union to win 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
87%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
30%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
83%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
5 – 1
3.5%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -2 | 34% | 20% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.