FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

FC Cincinnati

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 9 Jul 2022 · 23:40 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Tyler Blackett 2' Y

Allan Cruz 30' Y

Y 30' John Tolkin

Y 45' Thomas Edwards

Allan Cruz 58' R

Yuya Kubo 90' Y

Luciano Acosta 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-08-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-19 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-07-23 FC Cincinnati 2–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
03 Jul	New England Revolution	A	2–2	D
29 Jun	New York City FC	H	4–4	D
24 Jun	Orlando City SC	H	1–0	W
18 Jun	Philadelphia Union	A	1–1	D
28 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	3–4	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Jul	FC Cincinnati	A	1–1	D
04 Jul	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–0	W
01 Jul	Atlanta United FC	H	2–1	W
26 Jun	Los Angeles FC	A	0–2	L
18 Jun	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
11 Jun	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#9	Position	#10
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
55	Scored	34
64	Conceded	48
-9	GD	-14
1.27	PPG	1.27
31%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds TQL Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls.
2' A moment of madness from Tyler Blackett on 2 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
7' Luquinhas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
12' John Tolkin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 252 games and scored 363 goals.
20' Magnificent from Brandon Vazquez! That is 44 goals in 291 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
25' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
29' Lewis Morgan does the damage! The net is bulging and New York Red Bulls surge ahead!
30' Allan Cruz was booked on 30.
35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
40' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
45' The referee calls foul for Thomas Edwards. He receives a Yellow card.
50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
55' Tom Barlow is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patryk Klimala at the 55 minute mark.
57' Raymon Gaddis makes way for John Nelson at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
58' The referee has no hesitation. Allan Cruz is booked for FC Cincinnati — Red card on 58.
63' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gerhard Struber might look to freshen things up shortly.
68' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
70' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Thomas Edwards departs to be replaced by Andres Reyes.
73' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Yuya Kubo on, Brandon Vazquez off on 73 minutes.
76' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Cameron Harper is withdrawn and Caden Clark gets his opportunity.
81' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
86' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Brenner da Silva departs to be replaced by Arquimides Ordonez.
87' Ian Murphy is replacing Geoff Cameron for the FC Cincinnati side.
90' Yuya Kubo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

24
Tyler Blackett
20
Geoff Cameron ↓ Ian Murphy 87'
4
Nick Hagglund
8
Allan Cruz
10
Luciano Acosta
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Yuya Kubo 73'
31
Alvaro Barreal
5
Obinna Nwobodo
9
Brenner da Silva ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 86'
28
Raymon Gaddis ↓ John Nelson 57'
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2022-07-03 New England Revolution 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2022-06-29 FC Cincinnati 4–4 New York City FC D 2022-06-24 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Orlando City SC W 2022-06-18 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-05-28 Montreal Impact FC 4–3 FC Cincinnati L

New York Red Bulls Form

2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2022-07-04 Sporting Kansas City 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2022-07-01 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Atlanta United FC W 2022-06-26 Los Angeles FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2022-06-18 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC W 2022-06-11 Charlotte FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.04 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati49% Draw24% New York Red Bulls27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.45

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

73%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

51%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati38% Draw40% New York Red Bulls22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.9%

0 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

3.9%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	21%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.