FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
8 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 29 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| +1 | GD | -10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting New York Red Bulls for another epic battle.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 18' Joyeux Masanka Bungi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 23' USA international Roman Celentano has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 31' Bryan Ramirez is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
- 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adri Mehmeti is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 40' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Denkey makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 40.
- 45' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' The whistle greets Joyeux Masanka Bungi as he departs to be replaced by Matthew Dos Santos.
- 50' A goal from the Togo international Kevin Denkey! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-0!
- 55' Dylan Nealis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 214 appearances.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kenji Mboma departs to be replaced by Tom Barlow.
- 62' The whistle greets Gustav Berggren as he departs to be replaced by Emil Forsberg.
- 67' The 28-year-old Evander has been sensational this season — 7 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 72' Kenji Mboma, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 73' Rafael Mosquera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cade Cowell on 73 minute.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Adri Mehmeti. He receives a card.
- 79' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Bryan Ramirez has done his job and it is now time for Ayoub Lajhar to step up.
- 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 85' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Nehuen Benedetti comes on to replace Ronald Donkor.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Gilberto Flores. He replaces Kyle Smith on 89 minute.
- With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Ender Echenique 61'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 79'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Gilberto Flores 89'
- 27
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 61'
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Ayoub Lajhar 79'
- 88
Bench
- 13
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 61'
- 37
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 79'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 89'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 61'
-
55
Ayoub Lajhar ↑ 79'
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 26
-
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Emil Forsberg 62'
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Rafael Mosquera 73'
- 12
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Jorge Ruvalcaba 62'
- 15
- 23
Bench
- 13
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 62'
- 77
- 6
- 20
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↑ 62'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 85'
-
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↑ 46'
-
79
Rafael Mosquera ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-25
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-22
New York Red Bulls
4–4
D.C. United SC
D
2026-04-18
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-11
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.17
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
79%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
40%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
5%
4 – 2
4.6%
1 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 18% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

