Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Fotis Bazakos
9 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
22 Apr D.C. United SC H 4–4 D
18 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D
04 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–2 W
21 Mar Charlotte FC A 1–6 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati New York Red Bulls
#9 Position #10
33 Points 33
26 Played 26
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
55 Scored 34
64 Conceded 48
-9 GD -14
1.27 PPG 1.27
31% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.63 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati57% Draw20% New York Red Bulls23%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
43%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati44% Draw35% New York Red Bulls21%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 19% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20% ✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.