Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red BullsMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Fotis Bazakos
8 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 11.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
22 Apr D.C. United SC H 4–4 D
18 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D
04 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–2 W
21 Mar Charlotte FC A 1–6 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati New York Red Bulls
#6 Position #8
26 Points 25
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
45 Scored 29
44 Conceded 39
+1 GD -10
1.44 PPG 1.39
39% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 9 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting New York Red Bulls for another epic battle.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 18' Joyeux Masanka Bungi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 23' USA international Roman Celentano has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 28' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 31' Bryan Ramirez is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adri Mehmeti is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
  • 40' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Denkey makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 40.
  • 45' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' The whistle greets Joyeux Masanka Bungi as he departs to be replaced by Matthew Dos Santos.
  • 50' A goal from the Togo international Kevin Denkey! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-0!
  • 55' Dylan Nealis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 214 appearances.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kenji Mboma departs to be replaced by Tom Barlow.
  • 62' The whistle greets Gustav Berggren as he departs to be replaced by Emil Forsberg.
  • 67' The 28-year-old Evander has been sensational this season — 7 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 72' Kenji Mboma, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 73' Rafael Mosquera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cade Cowell on 73 minute.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Adri Mehmeti. He receives a card.
  • 79' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Bryan Ramirez has done his job and it is now time for Ayoub Lajhar to step up.
  • 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 85' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Nehuen Benedetti comes on to replace Ronald Donkor.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Gilberto Flores. He replaces Kyle Smith on 89 minute.
  • With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.17 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati60% Draw18% New York Red Bulls22%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 5.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
79%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
40%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati49% Draw32% New York Red Bulls19%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
5%
4 – 2
4.6%
1 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 17% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 18% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.