FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Austin FC 34 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Austin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #29 |
| 46 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 8 / 10 / 16 |
| 67 | Scored | 42 |
| 75 | Conceded | 65 |
| -8 | GD | -23 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 35% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
Austin FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Austin FC are 29th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Austin FC
0-15
5/6
16-30
4/6
31-45
3/5
46-60
5/11
61-75
5/10
76+
14/17
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Austin FC
| Christian Ramirez | 9 G | 2 A |
| Myrto Uzuni | 9 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Austin FC has kicked off!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Owen Wolff made 204 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Austin FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 12' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 12 puts his side firmly in control.
- 17' Austin FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' Brad Stuver has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 31 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
- 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Austin FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Denkey.
- 40' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Matt Miazga has done his job and it is now time for Teenage Hadebe to step up.
- 48' What composure from Brandon Vazquez! The USA international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Austin FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sergio Santos suffering a number of foals already.
- 68' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 68 minute. Yuya Kubo leaves to be changed by Brian Anunga.
- 69' Besard Sabovic was booked on 69.
- 73' Another substitution for Austin FC to replace Brandon Vazquez by CJ Fodrey on 73 minute.
- 76' Magnificent from Gerardo Valenzuela! That is 6 goals in 261 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 81' The whistle greets Besard Sabovic as he departs to be replaced by Jader Obrian.
- 83' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Luca Orellano is replaced by DeAndre Yedlin.
- 87' The Austin FC manager makes a substitution. Zan Kolmanic departs to be replaced by Diego Rubio.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Teenage Hadebe 45'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 68'
- 4
- 12
- 20
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
- 17
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
- 14
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 45'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 68'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Austin FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
9
Brandon Vazquez ↓ CJ Fodrey 73'
- 4
- 5
-
23
Zan Kolmanic ↓ Diego Rubio 87'
-
14
Besard Sabovic ↓ Jader Obrian 81'
-
10
Myrto Uzuni ↓ Osman Bukari 81'
- 17
- 29
- 33
Bench
-
21
Diego Rubio ↑ 87'
- 18
- 30
-
11
Osman Bukari ↑ 81'
-
7
Jader Obrian ↑ 81'
-
19
CJ Fodrey ↑ 73'
-
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky ↑ 73'
- 38
- 2
Coach
Nico Estevez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cecilio Dominguez | 3 |
| Alexander Ring | 1 |
| Sebastian Driussi | 1 |
| Alec Kann | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.26
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Austin FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
75%
Draw or Austin FC
46%
FC Cincinnati or Austin FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Austin FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Austin FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.