FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Austin FC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Austin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #29 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 7 |
| 36 | Scored | 19 |
| 37 | Conceded | 31 |
| -1 | GD | -12 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
Austin FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Austin FC are 29th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Austin FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
4/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Austin FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 12' GOAL! Evander scores on 12.
- 17' Oleksandr Svatok needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' Austin FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kevin Denkey gets a card.
- 40' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' Teenage Hadebe is replacing Matt Miazga for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 48' GOAL! Brandon Vazquez scores on 48.
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sergio Santos suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Luca Orellano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' The travelling Austin FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 68' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Yuya Kubo departs to be replaced by Brian Anunga.
- 69' The referee shows Austin FC player a card on 69.
- 73' CJ Fodrey has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brandon Vazquez on 73 minute.
- 76' What a strike from Gerardo Valenzuela! The score is 2-1.
- 81' Jader Obrian has so much to prove this time. He replaces Besard Sabovic on 81 minute.
- 83' The whistle greets Luca Orellano as he departs to be replaced by DeAndre Yedlin.
- 87' The whistle greets Zan Kolmanic as he departs to be replaced by Diego Rubio.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Teenage Hadebe 45'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 68'
- 4
- 12
- 20
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
- 17
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
- 14
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 45'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 68'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Austin FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
9
Brandon Vazquez ↓ CJ Fodrey 73'
- 4
- 5
-
23
Zan Kolmanic ↓ Diego Rubio 87'
-
14
Besard Sabovic ↓ Jader Obrian 81'
-
10
Myrto Uzuni ↓ Osman Bukari 81'
- 17
- 29
- 33
Bench
-
21
Diego Rubio ↑ 87'
- 18
- 30
-
11
Osman Bukari ↑ 81'
-
7
Jader Obrian ↑ 81'
-
19
CJ Fodrey ↑ 73'
-
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky ↑ 73'
- 38
- 2
Coach
Nico Estevez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cecilio Dominguez | 3 |
| Alec Kann | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Alexander Ring | 1 |
| Sebastian Driussi | 1 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.65
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Austin FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or Austin FC
42%
FC Cincinnati or Austin FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
6.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Austin FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 19% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Austin FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.