FC Bayern München vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern München

5 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sun 8 Feb 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler

10 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 4.1 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-08 FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-09-20 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 FC Bayern München 2025-05-17 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München 2025-01-15 FC Bayern München 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-05-18 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–2 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–1	W
31 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–2	D
28 Jan	PSV	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	H	2–0	W
17 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	5–1	W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Feb	FC Bayern München	A	1–5	L
31 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–1	W
27 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–0	W
24 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
17 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–0	W
14 Jan	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#1	Position	#9
21	Points	12
9	Played	9
6 / 3 / 0	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 5
29	Scored	16
9	Conceded	17
+20	GD	-1
2.33	PPG	1.33
67%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/4

61-75

2/4

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	7 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Bambase Conte	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G	1 A
Tim Lemperle	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern München is hosting TSG 1899 Hoffenheim for another epic battle.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-1.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	7
Serge Gnabry	6
Robert Lewandowski	6
Jamal Musiala	3
Joshua Kimmich	3
Harry Kane	3
Leon Goretzka	3
Thomas Muller	2

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2026-02-08 FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-28 PSV 1–2 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-24 FC Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg L 2026-01-21 FC Bayern München 2–0 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise W 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2026-02-08 FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-01-31 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-01-27 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-24 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-17 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-01-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.69 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + FC Bayern München to win 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München74% Draw15% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim11%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 4.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	84%	16%
± 3.5	69%	31%
± 4.5	51%	49%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

88%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

26%

FC Bayern München or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München63% Draw27% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim10%

Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

7.6%

4 – 1

6.9%

3 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

6.4%

4 – 0

5.9%

2 – 0

5.6%

5 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

4.5%

5 – 0

4.3%

4 – 2

4.1%

1 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	45%	—	55%
-2	45%	19%	36%
-1.5	64%	—	36%
-1	64%	16%	20%
-0.5	80%	—	20%
+0.5	92%	—	8%
+1	92%	5%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.