Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 2
Full Time
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 14,691 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 68' Rafael Leao
0–2 76' Santiago Gimenez

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb AC Milan H 0–2 L
02 Feb Juventus FC A 1–4 L
25 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 1–1 D
19 Jan FC Internazionale Milano A 1–3 L
11 Jan US Lecce H 1–3 L
04 Jan Venezia FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Empoli FC A 2–0 W
02 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
29 Jan GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 1–2 L
26 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–2 W
22 Jan Girona FC H 1–0 W
18 Jan Juventus FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadio Carlo Castellani that hosts another battle between Empoli FC and AC Milan.
  • 5' Sebastiano Esposito needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Luca Marianucci has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' Joao Felix is having his name booked by the referee on 18.
  • 23' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 28' It is a substitution in Empoli FC team. Mattia Viti is replaced by Saba Goglichidze on 28 minute.
  • 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lorenzo Colombo made 515 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fikayo Tomori on 36.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Empoli FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Liam Henderson is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' The whistle greets Youssouf Fofana as he departs to be replaced by Santiago Gimenez.
  • 51' Empoli FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Fikayo Tomori is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 62' Alberto Grassi was booked on 62.
  • 65' Luca Marianucci was booked on 65.
  • 68' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Leao on 68.
  • 69' Another change for AC Milan made on 69 minute. Tijjani Reijnders leaves to be changed by Malick Thiaw.
  • 70' Empoli FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Kouame is hanging Liam Henderson on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Liam Henderson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 76' Goal! Santiago Gimenez scores his 67 goal in 322 matches.
  • 80' Another change for Empoli FC made on 80 minute. Sebastiano Esposito leaves to be changed by Ismael Konate.
  • 81' The whistle greets Alberto Grassi as he departs to be replaced by Jacopo Bacci.
  • 84' Filippo Terracciano is replacing Joao Felix for the AC Milan side.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yunus Musah, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC25% Draw29% AC Milan46%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC18% Draw50% AC Milan32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
26%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.