Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
6 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | AC Milan | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | Juventus FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Jan | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | US Lecce | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Venezia FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Empoli FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jan | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Girona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Juventus FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stadio Carlo Castellani that hosts another battle between Empoli FC and AC Milan.
- 5' Sebastiano Esposito needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Luca Marianucci has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 18' Joao Felix is having his name booked by the referee on 18.
- 23' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 28' It is a substitution in Empoli FC team. Mattia Viti is replaced by Saba Goglichidze on 28 minute.
- 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lorenzo Colombo made 515 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fikayo Tomori on 36.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Empoli FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Liam Henderson is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The whistle greets Youssouf Fofana as he departs to be replaced by Santiago Gimenez.
- 51' Empoli FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' Fikayo Tomori is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 62' Alberto Grassi was booked on 62.
- 65' Luca Marianucci was booked on 65.
- 68' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Leao on 68.
- 69' Another change for AC Milan made on 69 minute. Tijjani Reijnders leaves to be changed by Malick Thiaw.
- 70' Empoli FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Kouame is hanging Liam Henderson on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Liam Henderson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 76' Goal! Santiago Gimenez scores his 67 goal in 322 matches.
- 80' Another change for Empoli FC made on 80 minute. Sebastiano Esposito leaves to be changed by Ismael Konate.
- 81' The whistle greets Alberto Grassi as he departs to be replaced by Jacopo Bacci.
- 84' Filippo Terracciano is replacing Joao Felix for the AC Milan side.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yunus Musah, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
Empoli FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
5
Alberto Grassi ↓ Jacopo Bacci 81'
- 13
- 99
-
21
Mattia Viti ↓ Saba Goglichidze 28'
- 29
- 23
- 11
- 35
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
18
Christian Kouame ↑ 70'
-
27
Szymon Zurkowski ↑ 70'
- 12
-
2
Saba Goglichidze ↑ 28'
- 31
-
90
Ismael Konate ↑ 80'
-
36
Jacopo Bacci ↑ 81'
- 39
- 40
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 90
- 32
- 23
- 29
- 16
- 19
- 79
- 31
- 80
- 20
Bench
- 10
- 11
- 21
- 99
- 57
- 46
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 69'
-
42
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 84'
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 46'
- 33
- 73
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Francesco Caputo | 1 |
| Fode Ballo-Toure | 1 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 1 |
Head to Head
Empoli FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Empoli FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Empoli FC
| Handicap | Empoli FC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

