Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | AC Milan | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | Juventus FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Jan | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | US Lecce | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Venezia FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Empoli FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jan | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Girona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Juventus FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Empoli FC get us underway at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
- 5' Alberto Grassi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 10' Mike Maignan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Empoli FC tonight.
- 15' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 18' Joao Felix was booked on 18.
- 23' Empoli FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
- 28' Saba Goglichidze is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mattia Viti at the 28 minute mark.
- 33' Empoli FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 36' Poor challenge from Fikayo Tomori. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Liam Henderson.
- 46' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Santiago Gimenez comes on to replace Youssouf Fofana.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' Fikayo Tomori catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
- 60' Alex Jimenez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 515 appearances.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alberto Grassi on 62.
- 65' That is a card for Empoli FC. Luca Marianucci will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' Assisted by Christian Pulisic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 69' Malick Thiaw has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders on 69 minute.
- 70' A tactical swap from Empoli FC — Christian Kouame on, Liam Henderson off on 70 minutes.
- 75' France international Theo Hernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 76' Santiago Gimenez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
- 80' Ismael Konate is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sebastiano Esposito at the 80 minute mark.
- 81' The Empoli FC bench stirs into life. Alberto Grassi is withdrawn and Jacopo Bacci gets his opportunity.
- 84' AC Milan ring the changes. Joao Felix has done his job and it is now time for Filippo Terracciano to step up.
- 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
Empoli FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
5
Alberto Grassi ↓ Jacopo Bacci 81'
- 13
- 99
-
21
Mattia Viti ↓ Saba Goglichidze 28'
- 29
- 23
- 11
- 35
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
18
Christian Kouame ↑ 70'
-
27
Szymon Zurkowski ↑ 70'
- 12
-
2
Saba Goglichidze ↑ 28'
- 31
-
90
Ismael Konate ↑ 80'
-
36
Jacopo Bacci ↑ 81'
- 39
- 40
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 90
- 32
- 23
- 29
- 16
- 19
- 79
- 31
- 80
- 20
Bench
- 10
- 11
- 21
- 99
- 57
- 46
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 69'
-
42
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 84'
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 46'
- 33
- 73
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 1 |
| Leonardo Capezzi | 1 |
| Pierre Kalulu | 1 |
Head to Head
Empoli FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Empoli FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Empoli FC
| Handicap | Empoli FC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.