Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 – 2
Full Time
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 14,691 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 68' Rafael Leao
0–2 76' Santiago Gimenez

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb AC Milan H 0–2 L
02 Feb Juventus FC A 1–4 L
25 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 1–1 D
19 Jan FC Internazionale Milano A 1–3 L
11 Jan US Lecce H 1–3 L
04 Jan Venezia FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Empoli FC A 2–0 W
02 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
29 Jan GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 1–2 L
26 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–2 W
22 Jan Girona FC H 1–0 W
18 Jan Juventus FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Empoli FC and AC Milan get this one started.
  • 5' Sebastiano Esposito has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Empoli FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 18' Joao Felix catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 18.
  • 23' Lorenzo Colombo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' The Empoli FC manager makes a substitution. Mattia Viti departs to be replaced by Saba Goglichidze.
  • 33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Empoli FC and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Fikayo Tomori on 36 minutes.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' Liam Henderson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Santiago Gimenez. He replaces Youssouf Fofana on 46 minute.
  • 51' Empoli FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 55' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 60' Empoli FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Alberto Grassi.
  • 65' A moment of madness from Luca Marianucci on 65 minutes earns him a card. Empoli FC will be frustrated.
  • 68' What composure from Rafael Leao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 69' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Tijjani Reijnders is replaced by Malick Thiaw on 69 minute.
  • 70' Christian Kouame gets the nod from Empoli FC. He replaces Liam Henderson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' Santiago Gimenez doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 80' Empoli FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ismael Konate is hanging Sebastiano Esposito on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' Jacopo Bacci gets the nod from Empoli FC. He replaces Alberto Grassi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Filippo Terracciano comes on to replace Joao Felix.
  • 89' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats Empoli FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC25% Draw29% AC Milan46%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC18% Draw50% AC Milan32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.