Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
5 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 9.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | AC Milan | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | Juventus FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Jan | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | US Lecce | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Venezia FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Empoli FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jan | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Girona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Juventus FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Stadio Carlo Castellani. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' Kyle Walker has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 449 appearances.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 18' Joao Felix has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 18.
- 23' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Filippo Terracciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 28' Saba Goglichidze gets the nod from Empoli FC. He replaces Mattia Viti and will look to change the dynamic.
- 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' A moment of madness from Fikayo Tomori on 36 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 41' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Liam Henderson. He receives a card.
- 46' AC Milan ring the changes. Youssouf Fofana has done his job and it is now time for Santiago Gimenez to step up.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' Fikayo Tomori was booked on 55.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mike Maignan made 477 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 62' Alberto Grassi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 62.
- 65' The referee shows Empoli FC player a card on 65.
- 68' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 477 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 69' Malick Thiaw gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' A change in the Empoli FC ranks — Liam Henderson exits the field as Christian Kouame enters on 70.
- 75' The 24-year-old Sebastiano Esposito has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 76' Santiago Gimenez adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 80' Empoli FC ring the changes. Sebastiano Esposito has done his job and it is now time for Ismael Konate to step up.
- 81' The whistle greets Alberto Grassi as he departs to be replaced by Jacopo Bacci.
- 84' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Joao Felix departs to be replaced by Filippo Terracciano.
- 89' Empoli FC is showing some good football. However, Empoli FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 0-2 the final result. Empoli FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Empoli FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
5
Alberto Grassi ↓ Jacopo Bacci 81'
- 13
- 99
-
21
Mattia Viti ↓ Saba Goglichidze 28'
- 29
- 23
- 11
- 35
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
18
Christian Kouame ↑ 70'
-
27
Szymon Zurkowski ↑ 70'
- 12
-
2
Saba Goglichidze ↑ 28'
- 31
-
90
Ismael Konate ↑ 80'
-
36
Jacopo Bacci ↑ 81'
- 39
- 40
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 90
- 32
- 23
- 29
- 16
- 19
- 79
- 31
- 80
- 20
Bench
- 10
- 11
- 21
- 99
- 57
- 46
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 69'
-
42
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 84'
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 46'
- 33
- 73
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Chaka Traore | 1 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | 1 |
| Christian Pulisic | 1 |
Head to Head
Empoli FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Empoli FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Empoli FC
| Handicap | Empoli FC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.