EC Vitoria vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 21 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 20 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 21 | 34 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 21 | 32 |
| 6 | RB Bragantino | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro EC | 21 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo FR | 20 | 29 |
| 9 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | CA Mineiro | 20 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 21 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 20 | 26 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 21 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 20 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 21 | 22 |
| 17 | Grêmio FBPA | 20 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 20 | 21 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 21 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #17 |
| 26 | Points | 22 |
| 21 | Played | 20 |
| 7 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 7 / 8 |
| 22 | Scored | 22 |
| 31 | Conceded | 26 |
| -9 | GD | -4 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.10 |
| 33% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
35%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 17th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 1 |
| Alexander Aravena | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
| Reinaldo | 1 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
1.1
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Grêmio FBPA 71%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
61%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
68%
EC Vitoria or Grêmio FBPA
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
25%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.