Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Grêmio FBPA
3 – 1
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 26' Gabriel Baralhas
Y 35' Camutanga
Marlon 45' Y
Y 59' Erick
Y 81' Ronald

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

5
4
Grêmio FBPA 9 games · Avg 2.4 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-28 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-21 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
13 Sep Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
24 Aug Ceará SC H 0–0 D
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Grêmio FBPA A 1–3 L
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
31 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–8 L
16 Aug EC Juventude H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA EC Vitoria
#16 Position #13
21 Points 22
18 Played 17
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 7
20 Scored 21
23 Conceded 25
-3 GD -4
1.17 PPG 1.29
28% Win % 35%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Grêmio FBPA launch into their encounter with EC Vitoria.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Brazil international Erick has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renzo Lopez made 279 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Halter suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Willian is withdrawn and Alysson gets his opportunity.
  • 26' Gabriel Baralhas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 31' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Marlon is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Andre makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 49' Aitor Cantalapiedra is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 59' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Francis Amuzu. He replaces Edenilson on 61 minute.
  • 66' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 67' Assisted by Franco Cristaldo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Francis Amuzu makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 70' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Erick exits the field as Osvaldo enters on 70.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Andre is replaced by Alexander Aravena.
  • 76' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Ronald.
  • 81' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Renato Kayzer has done his job and it is now time for Renzo Lopez to step up.
  • 82' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Romarinho on, Gabriel Baralhas off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Ronald as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Braga steps in for EC Vitoria.
  • 89' GOAL! Alexander Aravena scores on 89. Assisted by Francis Amuzu
  • Grêmio FBPA celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Pepe 1
Carlinhos 1
Douglas 1
Francis Amuzu 1
Jailson 1
Andre 1
Everton 1
Alexander Aravena 1

Head to Head

2025-09-28 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-21 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Grêmio FBPA

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-09-28 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-09-13 Grêmio FBPA 0–1 Mirassol FC L 2025-08-31 CR Flamengo 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-08-24 Grêmio FBPA 0–0 Ceará SC D

EC Vitoria Form

2025-09-28 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria L 2025-09-20 EC Vitoria 0–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-09-13 Fortaleza EC 2–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-08-31 EC Vitoria 1–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-08-26 CR Flamengo 8–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-08-16 EC Vitoria 2–2 EC Juventude D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA59% Draw24% EC Vitoria17%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
41%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Vitoria
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA41% Draw45% EC Vitoria14%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 24% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.