Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Vitoria vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
1 – 1
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Joao Pedro Pepe 12' Y
Y 22' Mathias Villasanti
Carlinhos 55' Y
Claudinho 70' Y
Matheuzinho 76' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

4
5
EC Vitoria 9 games · Avg 2.4 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-21 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Grêmio FBPA 2018-08-12 Grêmio FBPA 4–0 EC Vitoria

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Apr Fluminense FC A 1–1 D
17 Apr Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
13 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
06 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
29 Mar EC Juventude A 0–2 L
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L
13 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Grêmio FBPA
#13 Position #16
22 Points 21
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
21 Scored 20
25 Conceded 23
-4 GD -3
1.29 PPG 1.17
35% Win % 28%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Barradao will turn into a battlefield for EC Vitoria and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Claudinho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
  • 10' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 12' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mathias Villasanti, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' What a moment for Jemerson! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' A moment of madness from Mathias Villasanti on 22 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
  • 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thiago Carpini might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Erick departs to be replaced by Fabricio.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 100% of all matches.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Carlinhos is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 55.
  • 56' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Gabriel Baralhas on, Joao Pedro Pepe off on 56 minutes.
  • 58' Nathan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Edenilson at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' Against the run of play, Carlinhos has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 70' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Claudinho will be fuming at that decision.
  • 74' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 74 minute. Mathias Villasanti leaves to be changed by Gustavo Cuellar.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Martin Braithwaite is replaced by Andre.
  • 76' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Matheuzinho gets a card.
  • 81' EC Vitoria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Cristian Olivera is replaced by Alexander Aravena on 84 minute.
  • 89' The whistle greets Matheuzinho as he departs to be replaced by Ricardo Ryller.
  • The points are shared — EC Vitoria 1-1 Grêmio FBPA. Honours even.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thiago Carpini

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Joao Pedro 1
Jailson 1
Alerrandro 1
Everton 1
Jemerson 1
Pepe 1
Carlinhos 1
Douglas 1

Head to Head

2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-21 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Grêmio FBPA 2018-08-12 Grêmio FBPA 4–0 EC Vitoria

EC Vitoria Form

2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Fluminense FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-04-17 EC Vitoria 2–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-04-13 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2025-04-06 EC Vitoria 1–2 CR Flamengo L 2025-03-29 EC Juventude 2–0 EC Vitoria L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-04-13 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 CR Flamengo L 2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Grêmio FBPA 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria39% Draw29% Grêmio FBPA32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
68%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
61%
EC Vitoria or Grêmio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria27% Draw48% Grêmio FBPA25%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.