EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | Criciúma EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Jun | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jun | Cuiabá EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Jun | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 May | AC Goianiense | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 53 | Points | 60 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 10 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 48 |
| +5 | GD | +7 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 41% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting Cruzeiro EC for another epic battle.
- 5' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cruzeiro EC backline.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 14' Gabriel Veron is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 19' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Moises will be considering his options from the bench.
- 24' Vitor Hugo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Caio Alexandre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' Lucas Romero needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 44' Gabriel Xavier is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Silva.
- 46' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Cauly is replaced by Everton Ribeiro on 46 minute.
- 49' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a card on 49.
- 54' Brazil international Robert has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' What a moment for Thaciano! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 57' Arthur Gomes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Veron at the 57 minute mark.
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 67' named a 4-1-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Marlon. He receives a card.
- 72' Oscar Estupinan is replacing Thaciano for the EC Bahia side.
- 74' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Robert by Lucas Villalba on 74 minute.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Ademir Santos. He replaces Gilberto on 76 minute.
- 78' A goal from the Colombia international Oscar Estupinan! He fires home on 78 to make it 2-1!
- 80' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everaldo has done his job and it is now time for Cicinho to step up.
- 84' Joao Wellington is replacing William for the Cruzeiro EC side.
- 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 90' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. Ramiro will be fuming at that decision.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC share the spoils 4-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Oscar Estupinan 72'
- 6
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Ademir Santos 76'
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Everton Ribeiro 46'
- 9
- 14
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 46'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 76'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 72'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 80'
- 21
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 46'
- 23
- 5
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-3-2-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Vitor Hugo 84'
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Arthur Rodrigues 57'
- 17
- 3
- 98
-
12
William ↓ Joao Wellington 84'
- 10
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↓ Arthur Gomes 57'
- 5
- 43
-
80
Robert ↓ Lucas Villalba 74'
Bench
- 7
- 27
- 28
-
11
Arthur Gomes ↑ 57'
- 21
-
25
Lucas Villalba ↑ 74'
- 31
- 23
-
77
Joao Wellington ↑ 84'
- 41
-
68
Arthur Rodrigues ↑ 57'
-
22
Vitor Hugo ↑ 84'
Coach
Moises
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 4 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 3 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Machado | 1 |
| Cristian Olivera | 1 |
| Douglas Grolli | 1 |
| Lucas Romero | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
49%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

