EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | Criciúma EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Jun | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jun | Cuiaba EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 May | AC Goianiense | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 30 |
| 25 | Conceded | 31 |
| +4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 36% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 5 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC get this one started.
- 5' EC Bahia are deployed in a 4-1-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Cruzeiro EC's 4-3-2-1 shape.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 14' Gabriel Veron has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
- 19' Marlon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their 4-1-3-2 trying to find a way past Cruzeiro EC's compact 4-3-2-1.
- 34' Luciano Juba has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
- 39' Brazil international Joao Marcelo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' With 2 assists to his name this season, Matheus Pereira is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Silva.
- 46' Everton Ribeiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cauly on 46 minute.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Veron. He receives a card.
- 54' The 27-year-old Caio Alexandre has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 55' Against the run of play, Thaciano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 57' Gabriel Veron makes way for Arthur Gomes at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
- 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
- 67' Cruzeiro EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 70' Marlon was booked on 70.
- 72' The whistle greets Thaciano as he departs to be replaced by Oscar Estupinan.
- 74' Lucas Villalba is replacing Robert for the Cruzeiro EC side.
- 76' Ademir Santos gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Gilberto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Assisted by Gabriel Teixeira with the perfectly-timed delivery and Oscar Estupinan makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 80' Another change for EC Bahia made on 80 minute. Everaldo leaves to be changed by Cicinho.
- 84' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — William exits the field as Joao Wellington enters on 84.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Cruzeiro EC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Oscar Estupinan 72'
- 6
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Ademir Santos 76'
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Everton Ribeiro 46'
- 9
- 14
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 46'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 76'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 72'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 80'
- 21
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 46'
- 23
- 5
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-3-2-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Vitor Hugo 84'
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Arthur Rodrigues 57'
- 17
- 3
- 98
-
12
William ↓ Joao Wellington 84'
- 10
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↓ Arthur Gomes 57'
- 5
- 43
-
80
Robert ↓ Lucas Villalba 74'
Bench
- 7
- 27
- 28
-
11
Arthur Gomes ↑ 57'
- 21
-
25
Lucas Villalba ↑ 74'
- 31
- 23
-
77
Joao Wellington ↑ 84'
- 41
-
68
Arthur Rodrigues ↑ 57'
-
22
Vitor Hugo ↑ 84'
Coach
Moises
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Wesley | 1 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
79%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
47%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.