Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship .
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Referee Steve Meredith
- Referee Andy Madley
- Referee Rob Merchant
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Aston Villa FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Norwich City FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Reading FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 69 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 67 | Scored | 57 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 43% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Swansea City AFC.
- 5' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 20' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Connor Roberts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Against the run of play, Harry Wilson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 35' Mike van der Hoorn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 40' Harry Wilson with the second goal in the match!
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 50' Swansea City AFC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' Leroy Fer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jay Fulton at the 54 minute mark.
- 59' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Graham Potter might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 68' The crowd applauds Declan John as he leaves the pitch. Barry McKay steps in for Swansea City AFC.
- 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 74' Derby County FC make a change. David Nugent trudges off to be replaced by Florian Jozefzoon on 74 minutes.
- 79' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's shape.
- 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 87' What a moment for Fikayo Tomori! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Duane Holmes comes on to replace Harry Wilson.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 37
- 44
- 10
- 28
- 4
-
8
Mason Mount ↓ Max Bird 90'
- 46
- 5
-
7
Harry Wilson ↓ Duane Holmes 90'
Bench
- 21
- 16
-
41
Max Bird ↑ 90'
- 9
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 74'
-
23
Duane Holmes ↑ 90'
- 39
Coach
Frank Lampard
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 10
- 9
-
27
Jay Fulton ↓ Leroy Fer 54'
- 22
- 21
- 25
- 5
- 20
- 23
-
24
Declan John ↓ Barrie McKay 68'
Bench
- 1
- 3
- 16
- 26
-
8
Leroy Fer ↑ 54'
-
19
Barrie McKay ↑ 68'
-
7
Jefferson Montero ↑ 54'
Coach
Graham Potter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
| Connor Roberts | 1 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 1 |
| Richard Keogh | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2018-12-01
Derby County FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2018-11-28
Stoke City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2018-11-24
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2018-11-10
Derby County FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
L
2018-11-03
Derby County FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2018-10-27
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
Swansea City AFC Form
2018-12-01
Derby County FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2018-11-28
Swansea City AFC
1–2
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
2018-11-24
Swansea City AFC
1–4
Norwich City FC
L
2018-11-10
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2018-11-03
Rotherham United FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2018-10-27
Swansea City AFC
2–0
Reading FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
49%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.